^NBI | 0.53% | 0.71% | 0.47% | 0.38% | 0.23% | 2.31% |
^IXCO | 0.21% | 0.37% | 0.25% | 0.24% | 0.19% | 1.27% |
^IXTC | 0.20% | 0.35% | 0.22% | 0.39% | 0.10% | 1.25% |
^TRAN | 0.21% | 0.28% | 0.31% | 0.15% | 0.10% | 1.05% |
GLD | 0.12% | 0.31% | 0.12% | 0.17% | 0.30% | 1.02% |
^INDS | 0.05% | 0.22% | 0.31% | 0.24% | 0.19% | 1.01% |
^IXIC | 0.12% | 0.28% | 0.24% | 0.14% | 0.14% | 0.93% |
^RUT | 0.10% | 0.28% | 0.24% | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.71% |
^INSR | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.10% | -0.12% | 0.07% | 0.19% |
^GSPC | -0.01% | 0.13% | 0.10% | -0.07% | -0.03% | 0.11% |
DBO | -0.28% | -0.18% | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.04% | -0.28% |
UNG | -0.66% | -0.69% | -0.62% | -0.91% | -0.80% | -3.68% |
Using An Ensemble of 13 QLearning models I am trying to estimate a short term trend for Top 10 (by volume) energy ETFs.
Friday, August 28, 2015
No Change From Wednesday.
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Biotech Continues To Be Best Index
No real changes other than positioning changes.
I'm staying away from natural gas. Starting next week oil may get out of the negatives.
I'm staying away from natural gas. Starting next week oil may get out of the negatives.
Symbol | Thu 27 | Fri 28 | Mon 31 | Tue 01 | Wed 02 | Sum |
^NBI | 0.52% | 0.65% | 0.90% | 0.50% | 0.31% | 2.87% |
^IXCO | 0.35% | 0.34% | 0.51% | 0.31% | 0.29% | 1.79% |
^TRAN | 0.21% | 0.33% | 0.41% | 0.33% | 0.11% | 1.39% |
^IXIC | 0.27% | 0.24% | 0.40% | 0.28% | 0.16% | 1.35% |
^IXTC | 0.25% | 0.28% | 0.47% | 0.09% | 0.22% | 1.31% |
GLD | 0.23% | 0.18% | 0.33% | 0.08% | 0.24% | 1.06% |
^RUT | 0.06% | 0.19% | 0.43% | 0.30% | 0.06% | 1.04% |
^INDS | 0.16% | 0.12% | 0.24% | 0.28% | 0.20% | 1.00% |
^INSR | 0.11% | 0.18% | 0.35% | 0.23% | 0.01% | 0.86% |
^GSPC | 0.12% | 0.07% | 0.19% | 0.14% | -0.03% | 0.49% |
DBO | -0.07% | -0.30% | -0.29% | 0.13% | 0.18% | -0.35% |
UNG | -0.54% | -0.82% | -0.84% | -0.55% | -0.89% | -3.65% |
Tuesday, August 25, 2015
Biotech Remains On Top, Natural Gas Stays In The Cellar
The Biotech sector continues to stay on top; it did well today with a .45% gain.
Natural Gas did well up 1.1%, contrary to last night's call. The AI model still thinks it's a stinker.
On the list gold moved up to #3, but that's because it's summary percentage hardly changed while the rest when below GL, again based on last night's call.
Natural Gas did well up 1.1%, contrary to last night's call. The AI model still thinks it's a stinker.
On the list gold moved up to #3, but that's because it's summary percentage hardly changed while the rest when below GL, again based on last night's call.
Yahoo Symbol | Wed 26 | Thu 27 | Fri 28 | Mon 31 | Tue 01 | Sum |
^NBI | 0.48% | 0.57% | 0.73% | 1.10% | 0.29% | 3.18% |
^IXCO | 0.44% | 0.41% | 0.34% | 0.58% | 0.13% | 1.90% |
GLD | 0.30% | 0.33% | 0.27% | 0.50% | 0.19% | 1.59% |
^IXTC | 0.34% | 0.31% | 0.32% | 0.60% | 0.00% | 1.57% |
^TRAN | 0.28% | 0.22% | 0.36% | 0.46% | 0.20% | 1.52% |
^IXIC | 0.38% | 0.30% | 0.24% | 0.46% | 0.14% | 1.51% |
^INSR | 0.23% | 0.13% | 0.22% | 0.43% | 0.12% | 1.13% |
^RUT | 0.13% | 0.03% | 0.17% | 0.48% | 0.16% | 0.97% |
^INDS | 0.23% | 0.17% | 0.07% | 0.27% | 0.21% | 0.94% |
^GSPC | 0.24% | 0.14% | 0.05% | 0.24% | 0.01% | 0.67% |
DBO | -0.16% | -0.12% | -0.52% | -0.54% | -0.04% | -1.39% |
UNG | -0.35% | -0.64% | -1.11% | -1.06% | -0.63% | -3.78% |
Still Favoring Biotech.
Biotechnology is still showing strong numbers. Natty is getting worse.
Yahoo Symbol | Tue 25 | Wed 26 | Thu 27 | Fri 28 | Mon 31 | Sum |
^NBI | 0.35% | 0.62% | 0.81% | 0.82% | 0.62% | 3.21% |
^INSR | 0.21% | 0.34% | 0.42% | 0.51% | 0.34% | 1.81% |
^IXIC | 0.20% | 0.33% | 0.41% | 0.14% | 0.09% | 1.17% |
^GSPC | 0.16% | 0.18% | 0.32% | 0.22% | 0.27% | 1.15% |
^INDS | 0.19% | 0.29% | 0.37% | 0.17% | 0.06% | 1.07% |
^RUT | 0.14% | 0.23% | 0.27% | 0.19% | 0.17% | 1.00% |
^IXCO | 0.13% | 0.19% | 0.22% | 0.03% | 0.31% | 0.87% |
^TRAN | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.18% | 0.10% | 0.21% | 0.62% |
GLD | 0.19% | 0.14% | 0.14% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.53% |
^IXTC | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.15% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.30% |
DBO | -0.16% | -0.36% | -0.24% | -0.46% | -0.29% | -1.50% |
UNG | -0.29% | -0.51% | -0.56% | -1.14% | -1.55% | -4.04% |
Sunday, August 23, 2015
Biotech and Oil Sectors of Interest, As Well as Real Estate and Basic Materials Leverage ETFs.
Biotech and Oil Are Still Interesting, Natural Gas Still On The Bottom with Telecommunications joining it.
The following L.ETFs are most interesting for the coming week. Leverage ETFs have more volatility so their numbers are greater.
Yahoo Symbol | Mon 24 | Tue 25 | Wed 26 | Thu 27 | Fri 28 | Sum |
^NBI | 0.43% | 0.66% | 0.46% | 0.95% | 0.41% | 2.91% |
DBO | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.63% | 0.55% | 1.24% | 2.53% |
^GSPC | 0.18% | 0.16% | 0.20% | 0.09% | 0.77% | 1.40% |
^INSR | 0.17% | 0.23% | 0.32% | 0.09% | 0.23% | 1.03% |
^RUT | 0.33% | 0.29% | 0.21% | -0.09% | -0.45% | 0.29% |
^IXCO | 0.30% | 0.25% | -0.13% | -0.64% | -0.73% | -0.95% |
GLD | 0.21% | 0.09% | -0.11% | -0.36% | -1.19% | -1.36% |
^INDS | 0.21% | 0.16% | -0.10% | -0.49% | -1.20% | -1.42% |
^IXIC | 0.09% | 0.13% | -0.13% | -0.45% | -1.12% | -1.48% |
^TRAN | 0.19% | 0.30% | -0.06% | -0.56% | -1.40% | -1.53% |
^IXTC | 0.04% | -0.01% | -0.19% | -1.00% | -1.45% | -2.61% |
UNG | -0.26% | -0.46% | -0.50% | -0.76% | -0.66% | -2.63% |
The following L.ETFs are most interesting for the coming week. Leverage ETFs have more volatility so their numbers are greater.
Symbol | Mon 24 | Tue 25 | Wed 26 | Thu 27 | Fri 28 | Sum |
DRN | 1.28% | 1.93% | 3.26% | 4.74% | 8.37% | 19.58% |
MATL | 0.48% | 0.29% | 1.62% | 4.82% | 7.39% | 14.59% |
ERX | 0.73% | 1.58% | 2.63% | 3.76% | 5.01% | 13.71% |
SVXY | 1.31% | 1.08% | 2.30% | 3.15% | 4.39% | 12.23% |
UPRO | 0.78% | 0.66% | 1.46% | 3.20% | 5.51% | 11.61% |
UDOW | 0.66% | 0.64% | 1.33% | 3.59% | 5.12% | 11.34% |
FAS | 1.07% | 1.71% | 2.55% | 3.06% | 2.77% | 11.16% |
UMDD | 0.16% | 0.16% | 0.95% | 3.59% | 6.22% | 11.09% |
LBJ | -0.40% | -0.21% | 1.04% | 3.84% | 6.79% | 11.07% |
RUSL | 0.79% | -0.63% | 1.78% | 2.76% | 6.32% | 11.02% |
Friday, August 21, 2015
Industrials May Have Bottomed... for now
Numbers in the Sum column are most meaningful. But anything between 1.5 and -1.5 is not a very strong call. So I ignore the middle of the pack.
Again, Biotech is looking for a strong move up. Industrials and Insurance may be joining in on the fun, next week. And Energies - they continue to look bad.
Again, Biotech is looking for a strong move up. Industrials and Insurance may be joining in on the fun, next week. And Energies - they continue to look bad.
Yahoo Symbol | Fri 21 | Mon 24 | Tue 25 | Wed 26 | Thu 27 | Sum |
^NBI | 0.23% | 0.54% | 0.84% | 1.11% | 1.29% | 4.01% |
^INDS | 0.10% | 0.32% | 0.45% | 0.67% | 0.51% | 2.05% |
^INSR | 0.23% | 0.21% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.74% | 1.93% |
^IXIC | 0.11% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.25% | 1.63% |
^GSPC | 0.06% | 0.22% | 0.24% | 0.45% | 0.41% | 1.38% |
^RUT | 0.06% | 0.12% | 0.24% | 0.38% | 0.31% | 1.11% |
GLD | 0.18% | 0.24% | 0.23% | 0.24% | 0.07% | 0.96% |
^TRAN | 0.09% | 0.12% | 0.09% | 0.35% | 0.25% | 0.89% |
^IXCO | 0.04% | 0.17% | 0.18% | 0.19% | -0.10% | 0.48% |
^IXTC | -0.21% | 0.05% | 0.13% | 0.22% | 0.29% | 0.48% |
DBO | -0.11% | -0.09% | -0.41% | -0.30% | -0.64% | -1.55% |
UNG | -0.29% | -0.26% | -0.37% | -0.38% | -1.15% | -2.45% |
Thursday, August 20, 2015
Biotech Looking the Strongest - Nat. Gas Still Looking Ugly
^NBI - Nasdaq Biotech is showing some strong numbers. Getting close to interesting is Telecomm (^IXIC) and Industrials (^INDS).
GLD still showing signs that a bottom was reached.
Energies, especially Nat Gas, continues to stay in the negatives.
Symbol | Thu 20 | Fri 21 | Mon 24 | Tue 25 | Wed 26 | Sum |
^NBI | 0.01% | 0.29% | 0.52% | 0.96% | 1.53% | 3.31% |
^IXIC | -0.07% | 0.16% | 0.32% | 0.62% | 1.09% | 2.12% |
^INDS | 0.04% | 0.16% | 0.32% | 0.56% | 0.97% | 2.05% |
^INSR | 0.17% | 0.23% | 0.20% | 0.41% | 0.40% | 1.42% |
^IXCO | -0.13% | 0.06% | 0.16% | 0.38% | 0.77% | 1.23% |
^TRAN | 0.03% | 0.21% | 0.21% | 0.21% | 0.51% | 1.17% |
^GSPC | -0.09% | 0.07% | 0.22% | 0.31% | 0.65% | 1.17% |
GLD | 0.12% | 0.19% | 0.23% | 0.26% | 0.31% | 1.12% |
^RUT | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.09% | 0.31% | 0.60% | 1.10% |
^IXTC | -0.33% | -0.22% | 0.07% | 0.27% | 0.37% | 0.17% |
DBO | -0.11% | -0.10% | -0.02% | -0.40% | 0.04% | -0.59% |
UNG | -0.43% | -0.34% | -0.37% | -0.56% | -0.50% | -2.21% |
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Gold Bottom? Energies Not Yet.
Reviewing the overnight numbers it seems that gold may have finally bottomed while energies will not recover anytime soon. Next week look for a small recovery in the SP500 (^gspc).
Symbol | Wed. 19 | Thu. 20 | Fri. 21 | Mon. 24 | Tue. 25 | Total |
GLD | -0.03% | 0.16% | 0.23% | 0.32% | 0.35% | 1.03% |
^INSR | 0.06% | 0.15% | 0.20% | 0.17% | 0.36% | 0.93% |
^NBI | 0.05% | -0.01% | 0.11% | 0.15% | 0.51% | 0.81% |
^INDS | 0.08% | 0.02% | 0.11% | 0.25% | 0.35% | 0.80% |
^IXIC | -0.03% | -0.08% | 0.12% | 0.25% | 0.30% | 0.56% |
^TRAN | -0.01% | 0.03% | 0.21% | 0.22% | 0.06% | 0.51% |
^RUT | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.11% | 0.22% |
^IXCO | -0.10% | -0.16% | 0.03% | 0.12% | 0.25% | 0.14% |
^GSPC | -0.06% | -0.15% | -0.03% | 0.13% | 0.02% | -0.09% |
^IXTC | -0.26% | -0.34% | -0.22% | 0.15% | 0.38% | -0.30% |
DBO | -0.11% | -0.19% | -0.21% | -0.07% | -0.82% | -1.41% |
UNG | -0.61% | -0.63% | -0.56% | -0.45% | -0.86% | -3.10% |
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