10 Day Estimates for Some Leveraged ETFs

Top 10 and Bottom 10 Estimate Movers In 10 Days

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positive
GASX	2.92
TMF	2.85
DGAZ	2.75
NUGT	2.74
TQQQ	2.72
EDC	2.69
UST	2.68
CEFL	2.53
QLD	2.48
BIB	2.43
Negative
TVIZ	0.96
TBF	0.95
VIXM	0.92
SQQQ	0.88
TBT	0.88
TMV	0.85
JDST	0.84
BOIL	0.76
GASL	0.75
UGAZ	0.7

 

 

Last Week's 10 Day Call So Far

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
dgaz*	3.3	-2.04%
GASX	3.11	-5.17%
DDM	2.81	0.36%
DGLD	2.79	4.78%
TQQQ	2.7	2.67%
SOXL	2.69	7.28%
UDOW	2.68	0.90%
dto*	2.59	-0.50%
SSO	2.58	1.15%
QLD	2.56	1.81%
Average		1.12%
Negative
SQQQ	0.72	-2.78%
TVIZ	0.72	-3.01%
UGAZ	0.72	1.35%
GASL	0.78	4.85%
QID	0.78	-1.89%
TMV	0.85	4.77%
GUSH	0.86	5.90%
TECS	0.87	-3.74%
VIXY	0.9	-4.10%
PSQ	0.91	-0.93%
Average		0.04%

Final Results From Call Made 2 Weeks Ago

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positive
DDM	2.46	0.38%
QLD	2.63	-1.28%
SOXL	2.57	1.79%
SSO	2.48	0.66%
UPRO	2.41	1.07%
CEFL	2.22	1.88%
MORL	2.97	4.16%
SPXL	2.34	1.12%
TQQQ	2.53	-1.95%
UDOW	2.29	0.86%
Average		0.87%
Negative
SPXS	1.17	-1.17%
UBIO	1.15	-0.62%
VIXY	1.14	-4.77%
SDOW	0.97	-0.95%
DXD	0.97	-0.56%
TVIZ	0.95	-2.17%
TVIX	0.95	-9.77%
SQQQ	0.87	1.74%
UVXY	0.86	-9.48%
TECS	0.85	-0.53%
Average		-2.83%

Models Back to Not Liking Natural Gas For Next 2 Weeks

Models Next 10 Days

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positive
dgaz*	3.3
GASX	3.11
DDM	2.81
DGLD	2.79
TQQQ	2.7
SOXL	2.69
UDOW	2.68
dto*	2.59
SSO	2.58
QLD	2.56
Negative
SQQQ	0.72
TVIZ	0.72
UGAZ	0.72
GASL	0.78
QID	0.78
TMV	0.85
GUSH	0.86
TECS	0.87
VIXY	0.9
PSQ	0.91

Models Last Week With 5 Days To Go

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
DDM	2.46	0.43%
QLD	2.63	-1.74%
SOXL	2.57	-1.85%
SSO	2.48	-0.11%
UPRO	2.41	-0.17%
CEFL	2.22	1.29%
MORL	2.97	1.42%
SPXL	2.34	-0.05%
TQQQ	2.53	-2.57%
UDOW	2.29	0.59%
Average		-0.28%
Negative
SPXS	1.17	0.12%
UBIO	1.15	-1.30%
VIXY	1.14	-1.90%
SDOW	0.97	-0.65%
DXD	0.97	-0.46%
TVIZ	0.95	-0.34%
TVIX	0.95	-3.92%
SQQQ	0.87	2.60%
UVXY	0.86	-3.71%
TECS	0.85	1.15%
Average		-0.84%

Models Call 2 Weeks Ago.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positive
DUG	3.08	-9.18%
FAS	3.05	9.40%
MORL	2.97	1.36%
DGAZ	2.89	-8.90%
SOXL	2.85	11.79%
UYG	2.85	6.39%
dto*	2.77	-9.66%
TQQQ	2.76	-0.12%
ERY	2.7	-13.46%
QLD	2.7	-0.07%
Average		-1.25%
Negative
TTT	1.13	5.16%
FAZ	0.99	-8.77%
SOXS	0.99	-11.39%
SKF	0.95	-6.09%
SQQQ	0.9	-0.05%
TECS	0.89	-2.08%
VIXM	0.88	-5.36%
TVIX	0.66	-24.06%
UVXY	0.58	-24.43%
TVIZ	0.57	-10.61%
Average		-8.77%

Models for Leveraged ETFs Liking the General Market for the Next 2 Weeks.

Looking out 10 business days  the models have  several DJIA related leveraged ETFs picked for a positive moves.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positive
DDM	2.46
QLD	2.63
SOXL	2.57
SSO	2.48
UPRO	2.41
CEFL	2.22
MORL	2.97
SPXL	2.34
TQQQ	2.53
UDOW	2.29
Negative
SPXS	1.17
UBIO	1.15
VIXY	1.14
SDOW	0.97
DXD	0.97
TVIZ	0.95
TVIX	0.95
SQQQ	0.87
UVXY	0.86
TECS	0.85

Last weeks 10 day call for the positives missed big time, especially the energy related l.etfs.  Conversely the loser call is 9 for 10 so far.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
DUG	3.08	-3.55%
FAS	3.05	3.96%
MORL	2.97	-0.03%
DGAZ	2.89	-12.37%
SOXL	2.85	4.44%
UYG	2.85	3.02%
dto*	2.77	-4.11%
TQQQ	2.76	2.64%
ERY	2.7	-5.04%
QLD	2.7	1.77%
Average		-0.93%
Negative
TTT	1.13	3.85%
FAZ	0.99	-3.93%
SOXS	0.99	-4.51%
SKF	0.95	-2.73%
SQQQ	0.9	-2.66%
TECS	0.89	-2.62%
VIXM	0.88	-3.17%
TVIX	0.66	-13.21%
UVXY	0.58	-15.91%
TVIZ	0.57	-6.23%
Average		-5.11%

Likewise the energy l.etfs'  calls were wrong 2 weeks ago. The call for losers was 8 for 10.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positive
DGAZ	3.46	-2.83%
SCO	3.24	-2.78%
dto*	3.02	-2.61%
SOXL	2.96	1.84%
FAS	2.89	3.26%
TQQQ	2.88	1.46%
UPRO	2.81	3.31%
SSO	2.76	2.44%
QLD	2.73	1.02%
DUG	2.71	-5.36%
Average		-0.93%
Negative
UGAZ	0.54	0.54%
UVXY	0.8	-15.59%
TVIX	0.85	-12.06%
BOIL	0.86	-1.67%
VIXY	1.03	-6.31%
SOXS	1.14	-2.44%
ERX	1.16	8.50%
TVIZ	1.16	-1.24%
VIXM	1.17	-0.57%
SQQQ	1.18	-1.66%
Average		-5.11%

Top/Bottom 10 Leveraged ETF Picks For The Next 10 Days.

This week's picks are almost the same as last week with just some re-ordering.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positive
DUG	3.08
FAS	3.05
MORL	2.97
DGAZ	2.89
SOXL	2.85
UYG	2.85
dto*	2.77
TQQQ	2.76
ERY	2.7
QLD	2.7
Negative
TTT	1.13
FAZ	0.99
SOXS	0.99
SKF	0.95
SQQQ	0.9
TECS	0.89
VIXM	0.88
TVIX	0.66
UVXY	0.58
TVIZ	0.57

And last week's pick, so far, are horrible.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
DGAZ	3.46	7.51%
SCO	3.24	-1.57%
dto*	3.02	-2.07%
SOXL	2.96	-3.31%
FAS	2.89	-3.57%
TQQQ	2.88	-1.21%
UPRO	2.81	-0.39%
SSO	2.76	-0.25%
QLD	2.73	-0.77%
DUG	2.71	-2.92%
Average		-0.86%
Negative
UGAZ	0.54	-7.82%
UVXY	0.8	1.64%
TVIX	0.85	1.70%
BOIL	0.86	-4.72%
VIXY	1.03	0.84%
SOXS	1.14	3.25%
ERX	1.16	4.57%
TVIZ	1.16	4.28%
VIXM	1.17	2.10%
SQQQ	1.18	1.14%
Average		0.70%

It's really a 4 day change, since the US markets were closed on Monday.

But 2 weeks ago the models did a good job

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positive
SPXL	3.33	2.57%
BIB	3.29	13.28%
TQQQ	3.17	5.62%
LABU	3.16	19.79%
UPRO	3.1	2.57%
MIDU	3.05	1.43%
DTO	3.03	-5.70%
FAS	2.99	-4.56%
SCO	2.98	-6.69%
MVV	2.83	1.01%
Average		2.93%
Negative
UVXY	0.9	0.84%
SQQQ	1.11	-5.69%
TVIX	1.11	0.81%
SRTY	1.16	-4.50%
VIXY	1.24	0.49%
TZA	1.25	-4.60%
TVIZ	1.27	4.13%
VIXM	1.27	1.89%
UGAZ	1.28	0.72%
QID	1.29	-3.89%
Average		-0.98%

Looking Out 10 Days The Models Continue To Have A Positve Outlook for Overall Market ... Not So For Energy

Like this week $DGAZ was also picked 2 weeks ago - the call was incorrect.  See below.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positive
DGAZ	3.46
SCO	3.24
dto*	3.02
SOXL	2.96
FAS	2.89
TQQQ	2.88
UPRO	2.81
SSO	2.76
QLD	2.73
DUG	2.71
Negative
UGAZ	0.54
UVXY	0.8
TVIX	0.85
BOIL	0.86
VIXY	1.03
SOXS	1.14
ERX	1.16
TVIZ	1.16
VIXM	1.17
SQQQ	1.18

With a week to go Biotech ($BIB and $LABU) calls are quite impressive;  let's see how well the do next week.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
SPXL	3.33	3.88%
BIB	3.29	15.51%
TQQQ	3.17	8.62%
LABU	3.16	26.27%
UPRO	3.1	3.79%
MIDU	3.05	4.46%
DTO	3.03	2.23%
FAS	2.99	0.02%
SCO	2.98	0.00%
MVV	2.83	2.90%
Average		6.77%
Negative
UVXY	0.9	-5.96%
SQQQ	1.11	-8.18%
TVIX	1.11	-5.68%
SRTY	1.16	-6.66%
VIXY	1.24	-3.09%
TZA	1.25	-6.91%
TVIZ	1.27	-1.76%
VIXM	1.27	-0.93%
UGAZ	1.28	10.93%
QID	1.29	-5.61%
Average		-3.39%

Other than the bad $DGAZ call; the models did a good job 2 weeks ago.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positive
DGAZ	3.09	-8.20%
UPRO	3.03	5.41%
MIDU	3.02	6.40%
URTY	3	10.41%
TQQQ	2.97	9.30%
SPXL	2.96	5.36%
TNA	2.95	10.40%
MVV	2.9	3.95%
UDOW	2.86	3.89%
DTO	2.85	3.66%
Average		5.06%
Negative
UVXY	0.52	-23.97%
TVIX	0.53	-23.58%
SQQQ	0.62	-8.84%
SPXS	0.64	-5.24%
SPXU	0.65	-5.33%
VIXY	0.65	-12.24%
SDS	0.85	-3.50%
FAZ	0.88	-3.00%
SOXS	0.92	-11.07%
SDOW	0.93	-3.97%
Average		-10.07%