2 Day Look Ahead | 5 Day Look Ahead | |||||||
Symbol | Indicated Move |
Chance Better Than Average Indicated Move |
Chance of Indicated Move |
Symbol | Indicated Move |
Chance Better Than Average Indicated Move |
Chance of Indicated Move |
|
AGQ | SELL | 38.26% | 81.88% | AGQ | SELL | 73.10% | 100.00% | |
BDCL | SELL | 48.28% | 80.17% | BDCL | SELL | 60.58% | 96.15% | |
BIB | SELL | 31.88% | 74.64% | BIB | SELL | 62.32% | 97.83% | |
BIS | BUY | 27.69% | 67.69% | BIS | BUY | 64.29% | 97.62% | |
BOIL | SELL | 53.72% | 85.11% | BRZU | SELL | 74.84% | 97.48% | |
BRZU | SELL | 47.02% | 80.79% | CEFL | SELL | 65.14% | 95.41% | |
CURE | SELL | 33.87% | 75.81% | DDM | BUY | 70.56% | 97.78% | |
DRN | SELL | 36.89% | 81.97% | DGLD | BUY | 74.51% | 98.69% | |
DSLV | BUY | 44.03% | 81.13% | DGP | SELL | 73.29% | 98.76% | |
DTO | SELL | 40.91% | 73.48% | DOG | SELL | 76.19% | 97.88% | |
DUG | BUY | 37.18% | 77.56% | DRN | SELL | 68.22% | 99.22% | |
EUM | SELL | 50.89% | 86.39% | DRV | BUY | 64.35% | 93.04% | |
EUO | BUY | 49.07% | 85.09% | DSLV | BUY | 71.71% | 100.00% | |
FXP | SELL | 46.63% | 86.50% | DXD | SELL | 72.63% | 100.00% | |
LBJ | SELL | 55.35% | 80.50% | EDC | SELL | 72.73% | 99.30% | |
MORL | SELL | 39.32% | 76.07% | EDZ | BUY | 71.43% | 96.83% | |
NUGT | SELL | 41.21% | 81.82% | GUSH | SELL | 59.32% | 97.46% | |
QID | SELL | 49.46% | 94.02% | INDL | BUY | 74.40% | 98.81% | |
RETL | SELL | 38.62% | 75.17% | JDST | BUY | 75.21% | 100.00% | |
SCO | SELL | 48.97% | 82.07% | JNUG | SELL | 77.56% | 95.51% | |
SPXS | SELL | 55.88% | 89.41% | LABU | SELL | 64.81% | 100.00% | |
SPXU | SELL | 52.98% | 88.69% | LBJ | SELL | 69.87% | 99.36% | |
SQQQ | SELL | 51.58% | 93.16% | MORL | SELL | 63.16% | 96.49% | |
SRS | BUY | 32.43% | 78.38% | NUGT | SELL | 66.46% | 97.47% | |
TBF | SELL | 46.29% | 86.86% | PSQ | SELL | 80.73% | 98.62% | |
TVIX | SELL | 64.25% | 95.65% | QID | SELL | 80.45% | 99.55% | |
UBIO | SELL | 35.05% | 76.29% | RETL | SELL | 71.32% | 96.12% | |
UGAZ | SELL | 45.81% | 89.94% | SDOW | SELL | 76.72% | 99.47% | |
URE | SELL | 32.76% | 75.00% | SPXS | SELL | 73.96% | 98.96% | |
USLV | SELL | 49.10% | 83.23% | SQQQ | SELL | 77.83% | 99.10% | |
UVXY | SELL | 59.13% | 94.23% | TMF | SELL | 70.21% | 97.16% | |
VIXM | SELL | 64.92% | 88.48% | TVIX | SELL | 80.71% | 100.00% | |
VIXY | SELL | 65.22% | 97.10% | TVIZ | SELL | 78.26% | 99.52% | |
YANG | SELL | 53.01% | 86.14% | UBIO | SELL | 65.35% | 99.01% | |
UDOW | BUY | 67.43% | 98.86% | |||||
URE | SELL | 59.65% | 94.74% |
Using An Ensemble of 13 QLearning models I am trying to estimate a short term trend for Top 10 (by volume) energy ETFs.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
2 Day and 5 Day Look Ahead With Bollinger Band Based Machine Learning Models.
How Did The New Bollinger Band Model Do After 5 Days
Symbol | Indicated Move |
Chance Better Than Average Indicated Move |
Chance of Indicated Move |
Actual | Success Rate |
||
AGQ | SELL | 58.17% | 93.46% | AGQ | SELL | 1 | |
BDCL | SELL | 48.08% | 90.38% | BDCL | SELL | 1 | |
BIB | SELL | 53.96% | 92.09% | BIB | SELL | 1 | |
BIS | BUY | 55.56% | 88.89% | BIS | BUY | 1 | |
BRZU | SELL | 57.06% | 88.34% | BRZU | SELL | 1 | |
DGP | SELL | 62.58% | 94.19% | DGP | SELL | 1 | |
DIG | SELL | 52.90% | 90.97% | DIG | BUY | 0 | |
DOG | SELL | 64.67% | 98.37% | DOG | BUY | 0 | |
DRN | SELL | 58.96% | 88.06% | DRN | SELL | 1 | |
DRV | BUY | 60.94% | 86.72% | DRV | BUY | 1 | |
DSLV | SELL | 59.51% | 93.25% | DSLV | BUY | 0 | |
DUG | BUY | 54.17% | 89.58% | DUG | SELL | 0 | |
DXD | SELL | 63.24% | 95.68% | DXD | BUY | 0 | |
JDST | BUY | 50.82% | 94.26% | JDST | BUY | 1 | |
LABU | SELL | 55.56% | 90.74% | LABU | BUY | 0 | |
LBJ | SELL | 61.84% | 94.08% | LBJ | SELL | 1 | |
MORL | SELL | 54.55% | 88.43% | MORL | SELL | 1 | |
RUSL | SELL | 55.70% | 91.28% | RUSL | SELL | 1 | |
SDOW | SELL | 65.76% | 97.83% | SDOW | BUY | 0 | |
SDS | SELL | 70.56% | 97.46% | SDS | SELL | 1 | |
SPXS | SELL | 74.11% | 96.95% | SPXS | SELL | 1 | |
SPXU | SELL | 73.23% | 97.47% | SPXU | SELL | 1 | |
TQQQ | SELL | 50.42% | 83.19% | TQQQ | BUY | 0 | |
TVIX | SELL | 75.32% | 98.30% | TVIX | SELL | 1 | |
TVIZ | SELL | 58.38% | 97.30% | TVIZ | SELL | 1 | |
UBIO | SELL | 51.43% | 90.48% | UBIO | SELL | 1 | |
UGLD | SELL | 64.07% | 95.81% | UGLD | SELL | 1 | |
URE | SELL | 53.28% | 87.70% | URE | SELL | 1 | |
USLV | SELL | 70.93% | 93.60% | USLV | SELL | 1 | |
UVXY | SELL | 74.47% | 99.57% | UVXY | SELL | 1 | |
VIXM | SELL | 70.20% | 96.97% | VIXM | SELL | 1 | |
VIXY | SELL | 76.99% | 99.12% | VIXY | SELL | 1 | |
YCS | BUY | 55.84% | 92.86% | YCS | SELL | 0 | |
YINN | SELL | 58.62% | 87.59% | YINN | BUY | 0 | |
ZSL | SELL | 59.01% | 95.65% | ZSL | BUY | 0 | |
68.57% |
Friday, October 27, 2017
AI Models for Leveraged ETFs Still Have The Gold Miners In Play
10 Day Estimates
The leveraged ETF for the miners $NUGT a strong positive and $DUST & &JDST strong negatives.Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Positive | |
MORL | 3.23 |
NUGT | 3.09 |
DUG | 2.92 |
RETL | 2.89 |
TMF | 2.84 |
BIB | 2.82 |
DRN | 2.82 |
EURL | 2.75 |
DDM | 2.72 |
SCO | 2.71 |
Negative | |
TBT | 0.98 |
UVXY | 0.95 |
DXD | 0.94 |
TVIZ | 0.88 |
UCO | 0.7 |
TVIX | 0.64 |
BIS | 0.63 |
DUST | 0.6 |
JDST | 0.56 |
GASL | 0.34 |
Last week's 10 Day Estimates... so far not looking to good.
$NUGT was in last week's 10 day call, it's going to need a very strong week for it to get back to positive. The same for $JNUG and the mortgage related $MORL.
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Last 5 Day % Change |
Positive | ||
DGAZ | 3.17 | 10.38% |
TMF | 3 | -3.08% |
JNUG | 2.98 | -10.97% |
DUG | 2.97 | 0.71% |
NUGT | 2.64 | -9.41% |
AGQ | 2.6 | -3.10% |
BRZU | 2.58 | -5.31% |
ERY | 2.56 | 1.41% |
MORL | 2.56 | -6.33% |
DTO | 2.69 | -5.92% |
Average | -3.16% | |
Negative | ||
TECS | 1 | -3.80% |
UVXY | 1 | 5.30% |
TBT | 0.98 | 2.09% |
UCO | 0.96 | 5.35% |
BIS | 0.95 | 8.98% |
TMV | 0.94 | 3.05% |
UGAZ | 0.93 | -9.81% |
TTT | 0.87 | 3.00% |
RUSS | 0.83 | 2.17% |
GASL | 0.74 | -1.91% |
Average | 1.44% |
What was called from 2 weeks ago.
Another 2% average gain in the positive group.
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Last 10 Day % Change |
Positive | ||
DUG | 3.22 | 3.35% |
DDM | 2.98 | 4.19% |
DGAZ | 2.92 | 9.29% |
TQQQ | 2.89 | -0.30% |
UDOW | 2.88 | 6.23% |
SCO | 2.85 | -4.19% |
RETL | 2.84 | 4.24% |
SPXL | 2.76 | 1.17% |
QLD | 2.75 | -0.16% |
DTO | 2.69 | -3.71% |
Average | 2.01% | |
Negative | ||
DIG | 1.12 | -3.38% |
TBF | 1.12 | 2.48% |
SQQQ | 1.11 | 0.05% |
UBIO | 1.11 | -16.38% |
TECS | 1.08 | -3.78% |
TMV | 1.08 | 7.44% |
ERX | 1.07 | -4.53% |
GASL | 1.07 | -9.91% |
UGAZ | 1.04 | -9.41% |
TVIX | 0.91 | 2.89% |
Average | -3.45% |
Tuesday, October 24, 2017
New AI Method Using Bollinger Bands for Leveraged ETFs.
Here are the results with a new machine learning program I am testing. The testing looks at possible moves over the next 5 days. The %s are back testing numbers. We'll see...
Symbol | Indicated Move |
Chance Better Than Average Indicated Move |
Chance of Indicated Move |
Agq | SELL | 75.70% | 95.40% |
BIB | SELL | 69.70% | 92.80% |
BIS | BUY | 62.20% | 88.80% |
BRZU | SELL | 84.00% | 92.40% |
DGAZ | BUY | 89.20% | 92.40% |
DRN | SELL | 50.90% | 91.40% |
DSLV | SELL | 78.60% | 93.80% |
DUG | BUY | 22.90% | 85.30% |
DUST | BUY | 81.00% | 89.10% |
EDC | SELL | 66.90% | 89.00% |
ERY | BUY | 63.00% | 91.90% |
GASL | SELL | 87.10% | 95.50% |
GASX | BUY | 54.20% | 84.10% |
GUSH | SELL | 82.00% | 88.40% |
JDST | BUY | 81.80% | 87.00% |
JNUG | SELL | 82.40% | 90.70% |
LABU | SELL | 71.60% | 91.00% |
LBJ | SELL | 76.60% | 90.40% |
NUGT | SELL | 79.00% | 89.50% |
RETL | SELL | 45.60% | 89.50% |
RUSL | SELL | 73.60% | 91.30% |
SOXS | SELL | 74.60% | 99.60% |
Friday, October 20, 2017
10 Day Mover Top and Bottom 10 Leveraged ETF List.
Estimated best and worst in 2 weeks. $JNUG and $DTO, in the positive list, ruined the results for the call 2 weeks ago.
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Positive | |
DGAZ | 3.17 |
TMF | 3 |
JNUG | 2.98 |
DUG | 2.97 |
NUGT | 2.64 |
AGQ | 2.6 |
BRZU | 2.58 |
ERY | 2.56 |
MORL | 2.56 |
DTO | 2.69 |
Negative | |
TECS | 1 |
UVXY | 1 |
TBT | 0.98 |
UCO | 0.96 |
BIS | 0.95 |
TMV | 0.94 |
UGAZ | 0.93 |
TTT | 0.87 |
RUSS | 0.83 |
GASL | 0.74 |
Last week's 10 day call so far
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Last 5 Day % Change |
Positive | ||
DUG | 3.22 | 1.82% |
DDM | 2.98 | 2.93% |
DGAZ | 2.92 | 3.66% |
TQQQ | 2.89 | -0.27% |
UDOW | 2.88 | 4.25% |
SCO | 2.85 | 0.34% |
RETL | 2.84 | 3.69% |
SPXL | 2.76 | 1.49% |
QLD | 2.75 | -0.15% |
DTO | 2.69 | 1.22% |
Average | 1.90% | |
Negative | ||
DIG | 1.12 | -1.73% |
TBF | 1.12 | 0.97% |
SQQQ | 1.11 | 0.20% |
UBIO | 1.11 | -2.72% |
TECS | 1.08 | -1.27% |
TMV | 1.08 | 2.86% |
ERX | 1.07 | -2.30% |
GASL | 1.07 | -3.91% |
UGAZ | 1.04 | -4.21% |
TVIX | 0.91 | -5.51% |
Average | -1.76% |
2 weeks ago call.
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Last 10 Day % Change |
Positive | ||
TMF | 3.11 | 2.42% |
UST | 2.83 | 0.18% |
GASX | 2.82 | 5.56% |
DDM | 2.72 | 4.00% |
SSO | 2.71 | 1.49% |
CEFL | 2.65 | -0.97% |
JNUG | 2.64 | -10.86% |
UDOW | 2.64 | 5.98% |
TQQQ | 2.62 | 2.04% |
DTO | 2.59 | -6.29% |
Average | 0.36% | |
Negative | ||
GASL | 0.69 | -5.00% |
GUSH | 0.88 | -3.45% |
TBT | 0.89 | -1.66% |
TVIZ | 0.89 | -8.69% |
TMV | 0.92 | -2.41% |
UBIO | 0.92 | -5.00% |
TBF | 1 | -0.79% |
UCO | 1 | 8.71% |
PST | 1.01 | -0.19% |
RUSS | 1.01 | -1.72% |
Average | -2.02% |
asdf
Saturday, October 14, 2017
Inverse Energy and General Market Leveraged ETFs Top The Next 10 Day Positive Outlook List
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Positive | |
DUG | 3.22 |
DDM | 2.98 |
DGAZ | 2.92 |
TQQQ | 2.89 |
UDOW | 2.88 |
SCO | 2.85 |
RETL | 2.84 |
SPXL | 2.76 |
QLD | 2.75 |
DTO | 2.69 |
Negative | |
DIG | 1.12 |
TBF | 1.12 |
SQQQ | 1.11 |
UBIO | 1.11 |
TECS | 1.08 |
TMV | 1.08 |
ERX | 1.07 |
GASL | 1.07 |
UGAZ | 1.04 |
TVIX | 0.91 |
Last week's picks - so far so good.
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Last 5 Day % Change |
Positive | ||
TMF | 3.11 | 3.98% |
UST | 2.83 | 0.90% |
GASX | 2.82 | 1.55% |
DDM | 2.72 | 0.86% |
SSO | 2.71 | 0.42% |
CEFL | 2.65 | -0.64% |
JNUG | 2.64 | -1.67% |
UDOW | 2.64 | 1.32% |
TQQQ | 2.62 | 0.97% |
DTO | 2.59 | -4.94% |
Average | 0.28% | |
Negative | ||
GASL | 0.69 | -1.16% |
GUSH | 0.88 | -0.11% |
TBT | 0.89 | -2.68% |
TVIZ | 0.89 | -3.65% |
TMV | 0.92 | -3.87% |
UBIO | 0.92 | -2.79% |
TBF | 1 | -1.31% |
UCO | 1 | 6.19% |
PST | 1.01 | -0.75% |
RUSS | 1.01 | -3.87% |
Average | -1.40% |
The 10 day call 2 weeks ago did very well.
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Last 10 Day % Change |
Positive | ||
GASX | 2.92 | 4.68% |
TMF | 2.85 | 1.62% |
DGAZ | 2.75 | 1.47% |
NUGT | 2.74 | 9.89% |
TQQQ | 2.72 | 5.19% |
EDC | 2.69 | 10.57% |
UST | 2.68 | 0.42% |
CEFL | 2.53 | 0.45% |
QLD | 2.48 | 3.48% |
BIB | 2.43 | 0.73% |
Average | 3.85% | |
Negative | ||
TVIZ | 0.96 | -6.21% |
TBF | 0.95 | -0.53% |
VIXM | 0.92 | -3.10% |
SQQQ | 0.88 | -5.01% |
TBT | 0.88 | -1.13% |
TMV | 0.85 | -1.61% |
JDST | 0.84 | -10.13% |
BOIL | 0.76 | -2.77% |
GASL | 0.75 | -4.32% |
UGAZ | 0.7 | -3.64% |
Average | -3.85% |
Here are the results from the 10 day call 3 weeks ago. It may indicate that holding on does even better.
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Last 15 Day % Change |
Positive | ||
dgaz* | 3.3 | 4.30% |
GASX | 3.11 | -1.91% |
DDM | 2.81 | 4.72% |
DGLD | 2.79 | 1.49% |
TQQQ | 2.7 | 9.29% |
SOXL | 2.69 | 20.98% |
UDOW | 2.68 | 7.46% |
dto* | 2.59 | 1.32% |
SSO | 2.58 | 4.35% |
QLD | 2.56 | 6.17% |
Average | 5.82% | |
Negative | ||
SQQQ | 0.72 | -8.80% |
TVIZ | 0.72 | -11.25% |
UGAZ | 0.72 | -7.13% |
GASL | 0.78 | 1.11% |
QID | 0.78 | -5.97% |
TMV | 0.85 | 3.04% |
GUSH | 0.86 | 1.29% |
TECS | 0.87 | -10.49% |
VIXY | 0.9 | -13.02% |
PSQ | 0.91 | -3.01% |
Average | -5.42% |
Friday, October 6, 2017
2 Treasury Related Leveraged ETFs At The Top For Best Movers Over The Next 10 Days.
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Positive | |
TMF | 3.11 |
UST | 2.83 |
GASX | 2.82 |
DDM | 2.72 |
SSO | 2.71 |
CEFL | 2.65 |
JNUG | 2.64 |
UDOW | 2.64 |
TQQQ | 2.62 |
DTO | 2.59 |
Negative | |
GASL | 0.69 |
GUSH | 0.88 |
TBT | 0.89 |
TVIZ | 0.89 |
TMV | 0.92 |
UBIO | 0.92 |
TBF | 1 |
UCO | 1 |
PST | 1.01 |
RUSS | 1.01 |
Last week's 10 day call so far so good. With an almost 3% gain
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Last 5 Day % Change |
Positive | ||
GASX | 2.92 | 1.20% |
TMF | 2.85 | -1.54% |
DGAZ | 2.75 | 8.70% |
NUGT | 2.74 | 5.37% |
TQQQ | 2.72 | 4.13% |
EDC | 2.69 | 6.09% |
UST | 2.68 | -0.21% |
CEFL | 2.53 | 0.53% |
QLD | 2.48 | 2.81% |
BIB | 2.43 | 2.69% |
Average | 2.98% | |
Negative | ||
TVIZ | 0.96 | -4.38% |
TBF | 0.95 | 0.49% |
VIXM | 0.92 | -2.26% |
SQQQ | 0.88 | -4.07% |
TBT | 0.88 | 1.00% |
TMV | 0.85 | 1.56% |
JDST | 0.84 | -5.35% |
BOIL | 0.76 | -5.97% |
GASL | 0.75 | -1.09% |
UGAZ | 0.7 | -8.90% |
Average | -2.90% |
The results from the call 10 Days ago have an average gain better than 5%
Sym | Scale 4-0 |
Last 10 Day % Change |
Positive | ||
dgaz* | 3.3 | 9.75% |
GASX | 3.11 | -5.28% |
DDM | 2.81 | 3.52% |
DGLD | 2.79 | 7.38% |
TQQQ | 2.7 | 7.11% |
SOXL | 2.69 | 12.98% |
UDOW | 2.68 | 5.55% |
dto* | 2.59 | 4.98% |
SSO | 2.58 | 3.77% |
QLD | 2.56 | 4.76% |
Average | 5.45% | |
Negative | ||
SQQQ | 0.72 | -6.94% |
TVIZ | 0.72 | -8.79% |
UGAZ | 0.72 | -10.55% |
GASL | 0.78 | 4.75% |
QID | 0.78 | -4.67% |
TMV | 0.85 | 5.82% |
GUSH | 0.86 | 4.14% |
TECS | 0.87 | -7.47% |
VIXY | 0.9 | -9.11% |
PSQ | 0.91 | -2.33% |
Average | -3.52% |
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