Saturday, April 30, 2016

Is The Energy Bull Run Done?

Symbol Mon 02 Tue 03 Wed 04 Thu 05 Fri 06 Average VSD
^TRAN 1.38% 0.41% -0.36% 1.36% 0.70% 0.70%
^IXCO 0.90% 0.63% -0.40% 1.35% 0.58% 0.61%
^HUI 1.95% -0.61% -0.49% 2.50% -0.36% 0.60%
^TYX -1.11% -1.43% 2.53% 1.93% 0.81% 0.55%
^XAU 2.18% -0.36% -0.89% 1.70% -1.47% 0.23%
^INSR 0.48% 0.02% -0.49% 0.88% 0.27% 0.23%
^IXIC 0.74% 0.29% -0.93% 0.57% -0.30% 0.08%
^INDS 0.77% 0.20% -0.73% 0.36% -0.45% 0.03%
^GSPC 0.80% -0.06% -1.05% 0.29% -0.51% -0.11%
^BANK 0.34% -0.54% -0.96% 0.97% -0.47% -0.13%
^IXTC 0.54% -0.03% -1.17% 0.02% -0.50% -0.23%
^HGX 0.82% -0.21% -1.27% -0.26% -1.10% -0.41%
^RUT 0.49% -0.24% -1.40% -0.44% -1.93% -0.70%
^UTY 0.58% -0.78% -1.62% -1.79% -1.41% -1.01%
^NBI 0.39% -0.25% -3.12% -1.34% -2.75% -1.41%
^XOI 1.60% -0.35% -1.50% -2.14% -4.98% -1.47% <
^XNG 0.60% -2.07% -3.56% -5.47% -8.59% -3.82% <

Top 10 Positive Moving Leveraged ETFs.

Symbol Mon 02 Tue 03 Wed 04 Thu 05 Fri 06 Average VSD
BRZU 6.04% 7.80% 16.50% 10.88% 5.67% 9.38%
DWTI -3.97% 5.45% 2.43% 9.23% 23.25% 7.28%
ERY -4.15% 2.78% 7.99% 9.87% 19.75% 7.25% >
UBR 3.94% 4.22% 11.28% 7.66% 4.68% 6.36%
DTO -2.33% 4.43% 3.11% 7.76% 14.97% 5.59%
RUSS -2.27% 3.56% 0.12% 8.13% 17.08% 5.32%
DUG -2.61% 2.05% 5.44% 6.76% 13.09% 4.95% >
SCO -2.59% 3.83% 1.66% 5.97% 15.01% 4.78%
DRV -1.78% 2.58% 5.34% 4.35% 6.66% 3.43%
DGAZ -0.93% 4.19% -1.75% -0.26% 12.16% 2.68%

Six of the 10 are inverse L.ETFs related to energy.  Personally I have shorted energy by purchasing the inverse leveraged ETF for energy - ERY.  Which is the 3rd row in the 2nd table above.

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

Estimates for the Top 10 Positive Moving Leveraged ETFs Over the Next 5 Days.

Just looking at these #s I would guess that the overall market is in trouble.  Especially since the market has been moving in sync with energy;  5 of these 10 are inverse energy related.

Symbol Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Mon 02 Tue 03 Average VSD
ERY 8.07% 12.87% 19.16% 28.79% 29.28% 19.63% >
DWTI 3.36% 1.10% 12.61% 24.78% 27.17% 13.80%
DUG 5.23% 8.24% 12.38% 18.62% 19.30% 12.75% >
RUSS 2.09% 2.03% 11.18% 19.16% 20.92% 11.08%
DGAZ 3.78% 2.57% 9.22% 18.69% 18.93% 10.64%
SCO 2.24% 0.88% 8.63% 16.57% 18.01% 9.27%
DTO 2.78% 2.11% 8.99% 15.44% 16.71% 9.20%
BRZU 8.33% 12.58% 7.90% 6.39% 9.50% 8.94%
UVXY 10.09% 10.98% -0.41% 4.91% 12.15% 7.54%

Friday, April 22, 2016

Model Says Look For A Rebound in Gold, Miners and maybe Energy.

I am long miners with the purchase of the leveraged ETF (JNUG)

Symbol Mon 25 Tue 26 Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Average VSD
^HUI 1.80% 4.38% 6.43% 8.14% 9.07% 5.96% >
^XAU 1.77% 4.31% 6.26% 7.69% 8.25% 5.66% >
^XNG 0.92% 3.19% 4.23% 5.25% 5.31% 3.78% >
^XOI 0.35% 1.34% 1.66% 2.21% 2.05% 1.52%
^NBI 0.13% 0.71% 1.15% 1.76% 2.86% 1.32% >
^HGX 0.15% 0.32% 0.53% 0.90% 1.12% 0.60% >
^RUT 0.02% 0.03% 0.12% 0.19% 0.20% 0.11% >
^BANK 0.17% 0.20% 0.30% 0.01% -0.42% 0.05%
^IXIC -0.07% -0.03% 0.01% 0.07% 0.15% 0.03% >
^INDS -0.08% -0.02% 0.01% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% >
^GSPC -0.07% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% -0.03% -0.02%
^IXCO -0.11% -0.19% -0.21% -0.24% -0.23% -0.20%
^TRAN 0.03% -0.23% -0.33% -0.60% -1.08% -0.44% <
^IXTC -0.20% -0.42% -0.51% -0.58% -0.62% -0.47% <
^INSR -0.17% -0.29% -0.42% -0.68% -0.97% -0.51% <
^UTY -0.30% -0.38% -0.55% -0.61% -0.76% -0.52% <
^TYX -0.51% -0.14% -0.47% -0.78% -1.42% -0.67%

Top 10 Positive Moving Leverage ETFs (don't forget that this is simply an estimate)

Symbol Mon 25 Tue 26 Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Average VSD
JNUG 6.00% 14.41% 21.65% 26.65% 29.60% 19.66% >
NUGT 4.97% 12.08% 18.19% 22.57% 25.04% 16.57% >
UWTI 2.83% 10.54% 14.31% 18.16% 18.05% 12.78%
BRZU 3.48% 8.53% 11.85% 14.68% 12.32% 10.17%
GASL 2.00% 8.06% 10.60% 14.50% 15.47% 10.12% >
UCO 1.84% 6.92% 9.25% 11.71% 11.55% 8.25%
USLV 3.04% 6.30% 9.08% 9.84% 9.92% 7.64% >
UBR 2.43% 5.70% 7.85% 9.60% 8.40% 6.80%
RUSL 1.31% 5.58% 7.38% 8.71% 8.47% 6.29%
LBJ 1.81% 5.01% 7.13% 7.59% 5.49% 5.41%

 

Sunday, April 17, 2016

5 Day Forecast Of The Top 10 Upward Moving Leveraged ETFs.

Here is the model's 5 day forecast for L.ETFs.

Symbol Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20 Thu 21 Fri 22 Average VSD
DGAZ 1.08% 8.21% 13.01% -0.26% 5.10% 5.43%
FAS -0.25% -0.21% 4.10% 10.19% 12.25% 5.21% >
LBJ 1.15% -1.68% 1.25% 6.04% 16.95% 4.74%
BRZU 1.35% -4.08% -1.55% 7.85% 19.06% 4.53%
YINN 0.38% -3.11% 8.29% 7.25% 9.71% 4.50%
INDL -0.41% -1.48% 3.57% 6.53% 14.17% 4.48%
TNA 0.31% -2.04% 6.60% 9.28% 7.76% 4.38%
DZK -0.40% -2.30% 5.01% 7.98% 11.26% 4.31%
URTY 0.13% -2.49% 5.58% 9.22% 8.42% 4.17%
UBR 0.07% -1.06% -0.81% 8.29% 14.32% 4.16%

Thursday, April 14, 2016

Today's #s

Symbol Fri 15 Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20 Thu 21 Average VSD
^XNG -0.03% 0.35% 3.93% 5.85% 9.39% 3.90% >
^BANK 0.05% 1.36% 2.79% 4.15% 4.35% 2.54% >
^XOI 0.30% 0.88% 2.06% 2.40% 4.25% 1.98% >
^TRAN 0.03% 0.47% 2.19% 2.85% 3.48% 1.80% >
^RUT 0.21% 0.95% 1.59% 2.36% 1.98% 1.42%
^HGX 0.32% 0.41% 1.71% 0.64% 1.70% 0.95%
^INDS -0.03% 0.42% 1.35% 1.25% 1.29% 0.85%
^IXIC 0.02% 0.65% 1.28% 1.29% 0.87% 0.82%
^INSR 0.13% 0.33% 1.07% 1.14% 1.26% 0.79% >
^GSPC 0.07% 0.28% 1.23% 1.27% 1.01% 0.77%
^IXTC -0.10% 0.35% 0.89% 1.28% 1.17% 0.72%
^TYX -0.10% 0.12% 0.38% 0.47% 2.22% 0.62% >
^IXCO 0.08% 0.45% 1.21% 0.94% 0.33% 0.60%
^NBI -0.40% 0.79% 2.24% 0.27% -0.12% 0.56%
^XAU 0.59% -3.63% -2.45% 1.36% 5.62% 0.30%
^UTY 0.13% -0.46% -0.12% -0.44% -0.11% -0.20%
^HUI 1.09% -2.99% -3.96% -0.06% 3.87% -0.41%

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Model Has Natural Gas On Top; Gold,Oil and the Miners Still Near The Top.

Symbol Thu 14 Fri 15 Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20 Average VSD
^XNG 1.48% 2.77% 5.23% 9.11% 8.98% 5.51%
^XAU -0.32% 0.11% 2.33% 7.21% 7.88% 3.44% >
^XOI 0.70% 2.86% 1.54% 3.80% 3.94% 2.57%
^HUI -0.05% -1.57% 1.57% 4.03% 8.15% 2.43%
^BANK -0.36% 0.36% 1.81% 2.68% 2.40% 1.38%
^HGX 0.18% 1.48% 0.75% 1.11% 1.22% 0.95%
^TRAN 0.01% 1.07% -0.20% 2.34% -0.14% 0.62%
^RUT -0.44% 0.69% 1.17% 1.38% 0.21% 0.60%
^INSR -0.02% 0.93% 0.68% 0.35% -0.23% 0.34%
^GSPC -0.07% 0.46% 0.26% 0.63% -0.12% 0.23%
^IXTC 0.39% 0.35% 0.64% 0.43% -0.92% 0.18%
^IXIC 0.02% 0.50% 0.90% 0.45% -1.27% 0.12%
^IXCO 0.18% 0.27% 0.78% 0.44% -1.32% 0.07%
^UTY -0.12% 0.19% -0.11% -0.19% 0.54% 0.06%
^INDS -0.27% 0.07% 0.91% 0.43% -0.86% 0.06%
^TYX -0.73% -0.37% -1.44% 0.27% -0.84% -0.62%
^NBI -0.37% 1.20% -0.08% -1.25% -3.13% -0.73%
I am long Natural Gas through the purchase of the leveraged ETF UGAZ.

Monday, April 11, 2016

The Model's #s for Gold And Miners Are Huge.

Symbol Tue 12 Wed 13 Thu 14 Fri 15 Mon 18 Average VSD
^HUI 1.70% 3.08% 7.96% 9.34% 13.29% 7.07% >
^XAU 0.49% 4.27% 5.11% 8.17% 9.64% 5.54% >
^XNG 0.05% 3.00% 3.29% 5.18% 4.95% 3.29%
^XOI 0.27% 1.26% 1.71% 3.10% 2.48% 1.76%
^HGX -0.32% 0.06% 0.63% 2.05% 1.28% 0.74%
^UTY 0.00% 0.40% 0.82% 0.01% -1.30% -0.01%
^BANK 0.06% 1.21% -0.01% -0.32% -1.02% -0.02%
^GSPC -0.10% 0.12% -0.36% 0.11% -0.30% -0.10%
^INDS 0.03% 0.44% -0.73% -0.28% -0.29% -0.17%
^NBI 0.49% -1.09% -2.42% 0.95% 1.06% -0.20%
^IXIC -0.04% 0.09% -0.60% -0.27% -0.49% -0.26%
^TYX 0.06% 0.76% -1.17% 0.42% -1.52% -0.29%
^RUT 0.05% 0.34% -0.78% -0.36% -0.78% -0.31%
^IXCO -0.09% 0.29% -0.81% -0.54% -0.99% -0.43%
^TRAN 0.78% -0.07% -0.40% -1.18% -1.31% -0.44% <
^INSR -0.01% 0.01% -0.30% -0.85% -1.38% -0.51%
^IXTC -0.19% 0.05% -0.81% -0.48% -1.29% -0.54%

Wednesday, April 6, 2016

No Let-Up For Biotech's #s.

I am concerned about the market in general with the transports getting negative #s. 

Gold and miners are up near the top but their #s are too low to indicate any real positive movement.  

Symbol Thu 07 Fri 08 Mon 11 Tue 12 Wed 13 Average VSD
^NBI 0.99% 1.26% 2.55% 7.80% 7.00% 3.92%
^HUI 0.88% 2.06% 0.37% 0.09% 1.10% 0.90%
^XAU 0.30% 2.21% -0.41% -0.50% -0.54% 0.21%
^IXIC -0.02% 0.12% -0.74% 0.20% 0.65% 0.04%
^GSPC -0.25% 0.04% -0.24% 0.05% 0.20% -0.04%
^HGX 0.03% 0.51% -1.04% -0.49% 0.06% -0.19%
^INDS -0.04% 0.00% -0.92% -0.16% 0.15% -0.19%
^IXCO -0.01% -0.19% -0.25% -0.52% -0.28% -0.25%
^RUT -0.20% -0.02% -1.31% -1.22% -0.86% -0.72%
^TYX -0.11% -0.15% -0.56% -0.85% -2.23% -0.78% <
^XOI 0.24% -0.09% -1.43% -1.46% -1.44% -0.83%
^BANK -0.02% -0.61% -1.14% -0.91% -1.65% -0.87%
^UTY -0.20% -1.05% -0.80% -1.24% -1.28% -0.92%
^IXTC -0.38% -0.25% -1.95% -1.23% -1.55% -1.07%
^INSR -0.10% -0.99% -1.39% -0.92% -1.99% -1.08%
^XNG -0.29% 0.12% -2.38% -1.96% -1.60% -1.22%
^TRAN 0.40% -0.51% -2.16% -1.92% -2.17% -1.27%

Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Biotechs Lead the Model's List; Treasuries at the Bottom.

Symbol Wed 06 Thu 07 Fri 08 Mon 11 Tue 12 Average VSD
^NBI 0.62% 1.89% 3.24% 6.46% 3.05% 3.05%
^IXIC -0.14% 0.23% 0.90% 1.08% 2.01% 0.81% >
^HUI -0.40% 0.61% 0.65% 1.90% 0.19% 0.59%
^GSPC 0.10% 0.02% 0.13% 0.69% 1.24% 0.44%
^INDS 0.20% -0.58% 0.34% 0.41% 1.20% 0.31%
^RUT -0.03% -0.04% -0.20% 0.64% 1.19% 0.31%
^IXCO -0.12% -0.39% 0.24% -0.10% 1.41% 0.21%
^HGX 0.07% -0.53% 0.29% 0.58% 0.45% 0.17%
^XAU -0.20% 0.53% 0.23% -0.63% -0.05% -0.02%
^BANK -0.13% -0.02% -1.02% -0.35% 0.51% -0.20%
^TRAN 1.02% -0.11% -1.14% -0.54% -0.32% -0.22%
^UTY -0.56% -0.44% -0.58% -0.18% -0.37% -0.43%
^INSR 0.05% -1.28% -0.40% -0.55% -0.19% -0.47%
^IXTC -0.52% -1.13% -0.39% -1.65% 0.36% -0.66%
^XOI 0.91% -0.25% -1.81% -2.19% -1.05% -0.88%
^XNG 0.28% -0.57% -2.69% -0.71% -1.16% -0.97%
^TYX 0.53% -1.57% -1.17% -3.23% -0.79% -1.25%

Monday, April 4, 2016

Model's Top 10 L.ETFs Pick For The Week

Symbol Mon 04 Tue 05 Wed 06 Thu 07 Fri 09 Average VSD
DWTI -1.32% 6.21% 12.45% 12.46% 22.72% 10.50% >
DTO -2.29% 4.28% 6.39% 14.79% 17.51% 8.14% >
SCO -1.79% 2.28% 8.89% 8.80% 16.59% 6.95%
BIB 0.15% 3.45% 4.07% 5.91% 7.55% 4.23% >
ERY -0.28% 7.35% 6.65% 1.41% 5.16% 4.06%
TNA 0.28% 0.62% 0.24% 8.52% 7.75% 3.48%
SVXY 1.12% 0.63% 1.22% 6.90% 6.76% 3.33%
URTY 0.00% 1.23% -0.87% 7.33% 8.39% 3.22%
DUG 0.80% 6.21% 4.86% 1.33% 2.73% 3.18%
UBR 1.96% -0.38% -0.25% 0.22% 13.78% 3.07%