Friday, March 31, 2017

Model Picks The MidCaps to Perform.

The model is telling me that it likes a continuation to the market's upward trend.

Sym Scale
3-0
Positive
DGAZ 2.84
UMDD 2.67
MVV 2.63
DDM 2.61
XLI 2.6
XLB 2.58
PGX 2.56
XLP 2.55
UDOW 2.5
ewz* 2.49
Negative


TVIX 1.07
FXP 1.05
TZA 1.05
SRTY 1.03
UVXY 1
FAZ 0.95
SKF 0.87
SDOW 0.86
YANG 0.73
GUSH 0.6
I do hold positions in DGAZ and XLI.


The results for last week had the positive picks at 8 out of 10 and the negative picks 4 out of 10.


Sym Scale
3-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positive
BIB 2.4 2.18%
smhd* 2.4 4.80%
UMDD 2.36 3.95%
DGAZ 2.32 -4.19%
CURE 2.25 0.00%
OIH 2.23 3.10%
XLI 2.22 0.93%
DDM 2.21 0.93%
XRT 2.21 2.89%
tna* 2.2 5.14%
Negative
TVIX 0.86 -14.16%
UNG 0.8 1.15%
SRTY 0.78 -5.05%
EURL 0.76 1.08%
TWM 0.76 -3.39%
labu* 0.73 2.98%
YANG 0.68 2.40%
TZA 0.56 -5.06%
LBJ 0.35 7.09%
UBIO 0.34 3.25%


The final results for 2 weeks ago are not impressive at all. Both positive and negative picks were only 4 out of 10.

Sym Weight Last 5 Day Avg Last 10 Day


Avg % Change Avg % Change
Positive
ERY 1.44 4.26% 2.29%
DUG 1.36 2.89% 1.40%
EWZ 1.19 -2.82% -0.03%
RUSS 1.14 -1.09% 0.26%
BIB 1.04 -4.64% -2.10%
XRT 0.99 -1.75% -1.73%
USMV 0.95 -0.64% -0.98%
XLI 0.93 -1.41% -1.25%
BND 0.9 0.32% 0.59%
UPRO 0.84 -3.52% -2.78%
Negative
labu* -0.94 -11.80% -8.87%
FXP -0.96 1.72% 0.34%
TZA -0.96 6.86% 5.00%
MVV -1 -3.11% -3.10%
EWW -1.07 1.25% 2.35%
VWO -1.09 -0.72% 0.08%
SLV -1.16 1.32% 3.28%
UVXY -1.16 11.83% 3.47%
ERX -1.24 -4.23% -2.50%
DIG -1.48 -3.28% -1.70%

Saturday, March 25, 2017

Biotech Has The Most Interesting Estimate For The Next 10 Days.

Looking out for the next 10 days -

Contrarian note about the biotech picks is that LABU and UBIO on the negative side conflict with BIB and CURE on the positive side.
Sym Scale
3-0
Positive
BIB 2.4
smhd* 2.4
UMDD 2.36
DGAZ 2.32
CURE 2.25
OIH 2.23
XLI 2.22
DDM 2.21
XRT 2.21
tna* 2.2
Negative
TVIX 0.86
UNG 0.8
SRTY 0.78
EURL 0.76
TWM 0.76
labu* 0.73
YANG 0.68
TZA 0.56
LBJ 0.35
UBIO 0.34

The weight is now based on a scaling system from 0 to 3.

Results for last week's 10 days -

Sym Weight Last 5 Day Avg


Avg % Change
Positive
ERY 1.44 4.26%
DUG 1.36 2.89%
EWZ 1.19 -2.82%
RUSS 1.14 -1.09%
BIB 1.04 -4.64%
XRT 0.99 -1.75%
USMV 0.95 -0.64%
XLI 0.93 -1.41%
BND 0.9 0.32%
UPRO 0.84 -3.52%
Negative
labu* -0.94 -11.80%
FXP -0.96 1.72%
TZA -0.96 6.86%
MVV -1 -3.11%
EWW -1.07 1.25%
VWO -1.09 -0.72%
SLV -1.16 1.32%
UVXY -1.16 11.83%
ERX -1.24 -4.23%
DIG -1.48 -3.28%

Results for previous week's 10 days - 


Sym Weight Last 5 Day Avg Last 10 Day


Avg % Change Avg % Change
Positive
yinn* 1.31 9.00% 7.91%
ERY 1.28 0.00% 1.42%
EWC 1.14 1.00% -0.32%
XPP 1.11 6.00% 5.15%
EWY 1.1 5.00% 4.50%
FXP 1.08 -6.00% -5.38%
EWJ 1.05 1.00% 0.19%
IEFA 1.03 2.00% 1.17%
EFA 1.01 2.00% 1.09%
KBE 1.01 -1.00% -4.77%
Negative
PFF -1 1.00% 1.29%
QLD -1.02 1.00% -0.70%
SOXS -1.03 -6.00% -1.16%
UMDD -1.03 3.00% -1.20%
USO -1.05 -2.00% -1.05%
SPXU -1.09 -2.00% 2.11%
EWU -1.24 2.00% 1.69%
VXX -1.26 -4.00% -1.67%
SLV -1.41 1.00% 3.38%
EMB -1.42 1.00% 1.41%

Friday, March 17, 2017

For The Next 10 Days - Inverse Energy L.ETFs In The SpotLight.

The model is looking out for the next 10 Days.

Sym Weight
Positive
ERY 1.44
DUG 1.36
EWZ 1.19
RUSS 1.14
BIB 1.04
XRT 0.99
USMV 0.95
XLI 0.93
BND 0.9
UPRO 0.84
Negative
labu* -0.94
FXP -0.96
TZA -0.96
MVV -1
EWW -1.07
VWO -1.09
SLV -1.16
UVXY -1.16
ERX -1.24
DIG -1.48

Last week's results (for just 5 days, model is for 10 day outlook.)

Positive 7 out of 10 ... so far

Negative 3 out of 10 

 

Sym Weight Last 5 Day Avg


Avg % Change
Positive
yinn* 1.31 9.55%
ERY 1.28 -0.92%
EWC 1.14 0.59%
XPP 1.11 6.60%
EWY 1.1 4.14%
FXP 1.08 -6.14%
EWJ 1.05 0.55%
IEFA 1.03 1.05%
EFA 1.01 1.13%
KBE 1.01 -0.33%
Negative
PFF -1 1.00%
QLD -1.02 0.63%
SOXS -1.03 -3.08%
UMDD -1.03 2.13%
USO -1.05 0.24%
SPXU -1.09 -0.65%
EWU -1.24 1.94%
VXX -1.26 -4.31%
SLV -1.41 1.07%
EMB -1.42 0.50%
Updated using actual Friday closing #s and to show true percentage.

Saturday, March 11, 2017

For The Next 10 Days, Model's Most and Least 10 Favorite ETF Movers.

Sym Weight
Positive
yinn* 1.31
ERY 1.28
EWC 1.14
XPP 1.11
EWY 1.1
FXP 1.08
EWJ 1.05
IEFA 1.03
EFA 1.01
KBE 1.01
Negative
PFF -1
QLD -1.02
SOXS -1.03
UMDD -1.03
USO -1.05
SPXU -1.09
EWU -1.24
VXX -1.26
SLV -1.41
EMB -1.42

Monday, March 6, 2017

Top 10 Leveraged ETFs by My Model For Next 10 Days

Some of these L.ETFs are very low volume so I do not trade them.

Symbol Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5 Day6 Day7 Day8 Day9 Day10 Average
URE 0.0123 0.0141 0.0231 0.0265 0.0227 0.0144 0.0091 0.0057 0.0008 0.009 0.0138
UGE -0.0013 0.0095 0.0223 0.0219 0.0128 0.0114 0.0112 0.0124 0.0064 0.0045 0.0111
UYM 0.0012 0.0044 0.0007 0.0037 0.0132 0.0126 0.0165 0.0195 0.0162 0.0108 0.0099
UDOW 0.0006 0.0033 0.005 0.0062 0.0086 0.0115 0.0135 0.0144 0.0163 0.017 0.0096
UCC 0.0058 0.0073 0.0083 0.0117 0.0081 0.0068 0.0063 0.0078 0.0129 0.0146 0.009
UPW 0.002 0.0038 0.006 0.0077 0.0083 0.008 0.0104 0.0122 0.0134 0.0186 0.009
CURE 0.0021 0.0041 0.0062 0.0078 0.0097 0.0093 0.0093 0.0096 0.0109 0.0121 0.0081
ROM 0.0001 0.0045 0.0052 0.0074 0.009 0.0099 0.0079 0.0093 0.012 0.0124 0.0078
RXL 0.0018 0.0033 0.0044 0.0055 0.0067 0.0068 0.0068 0.0069 0.0076 0.009 0.0059
SAA 0.0035 0.0071 0.0035 0.0021 0.0013 0.0051 0.006 0.0075 0.0079 0.0101 0.0054