Predicting The Trend For US Energy ETFs: April 2017

Saturday, April 29, 2017

Looking Out 10 Days for Selected Leveraged ETFs.

$XBI and $CURE in the positives and $BIS in the negatives - BioTech could be strong over the next 10 days.

Sym	Scale 3-0
Positive
XOP	2.71
TLT	2.68
AGG	2.59
OIH	2.5
BND	2.47
XBI	2.42
JNK	2.37
DIG	2.36
CURE	2.33
URTY	2.32
Negative
BIS	0.98
SOXS	0.96
SRTY	0.94
ERY	0.92
TWM	0.91
UVXY	0.91
TVIX	0.88
HEDJ	0.81
UBIO	0.39
EURL	0.35

Last week's results shows some pretty good results except for anything energy related.

Sym	Scale 3-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
DGAZ	2.46	-9.43%
OIH	2.43	-1.43%
AGG	2.42	-0.05%
UWM	2.42	1.52%
EEM	2.4	0.48%
XOP	2.39	-0.35%
TNA	2.38	2.35%
XPP	2.36	1.95%
EWY	2.35	1.22%
CURE	2.34	3.80%
Negative
SRTY	0.85	-2.37%
DXD	0.84	-1.89%
ERY	0.79	0.74%
FAZ	0.79	-0.03%
FXP	0.61	-2.08%
LABD	0.61	-8.37%
YANG	0.61	-3.24%
VIXY	0.53	-2.30%
SOXS	0.51	-1.43%
BIS	0.12	-3.43%

I didn't post 2 weeks ago so no results to show.

Sunday, April 23, 2017

This Week's AI Top and Bottom 10 Calls for Selected Leverage ETFs.

Sym	Scale 3-0
Positive
DGAZ	2.46
OIH	2.43
AGG	2.42
UWM	2.42
EEM	2.4
XOP	2.39
TNA	2.38
XPP	2.36
EWY	2.35
CURE	2.34
Negative
SRTY	0.85
DXD	0.84
ERY	0.79
FAZ	0.79
FXP	0.61
LABD	0.61
YANG	0.61
VIXY	0.53
SOXS	0.51
BIS	0.12

Results from 10 Days Ago

Both buy and sell indicators were 6 out of 10.

The UVXY call was quite wrong.

Sym	Last 10 Day
	Avg % Change
Positive
ERY	7.13%
DUG	5.01%
EWZ	-1.03%
RUSS	7.36%
BIB	-1.05%
XRT	2.18%
USMV	0.39%
XLI	-0.49%
BND	0.82%
UPRO	-1.47%
Negative
labu	3.50%
FXP	3.48%
TZA	-1.02%
MVV	-0.08%
EWW	-1.32%
VWO	-0.58%
SLV	1.32%
UVXY	12.14%
ERX	-6.93%
DIG	-5.00%

Point And Figure Buy & Sell Indicators for Selected ETFs

Sym	Day Buy Cnt	Week Buy Cnt	Day Sell Cnt	Week Sell Cnt	Buy Cnt	Sell Cnt
FLGE	3	0	3	0	6	0
UCC	3	0	3	0	6	0
VOO	3	0	3	0	6	0
XLY	3	0	3	0	6	0
DUG	3	0	2	0	5	0
FIEU	3	0	2	0	5	0
EEM	3	0	2	0	5	0
EFA	3	0	2	0	5	0
EWH	3	0	2	0	5	0
EWW	2	0	3	0	5	0
EZU	3	0	2	0	5	0
IEFA	3	0	2	0	5	0
IVV	3	0	2	0	5	0
QQQ	3	0	2	0	5	0
VNQ	3	0	2	0	5	0
VTI	3	0	2	0	5	0
VWO	3	0	2	0	5	0
EURL	2	0	2	0	4	0
TQQQ	3	0	1	0	4	0
GLD	2	0	2	0	4	0
INDA	3	0	1	0	4	0
USMV	2	0	2	0	4	0
VEA	2	0	2	0	4	0
VGK	2	0	2	0	4	0
XLK	2	0	2	0	4	0
DVYL	0	0	3	0	3	0
JDST	3	0	0	0	3	0
LMLP	0	0	3	0	3	0
QLD	3	0	0	0	3	0
EMB	1	0	2	0	3	0
EPI	3	0	0	0	3	0		may move from buy
EWG	3	0	0	0	3	0		may move from buy
EWT	3	0	0	0	3	0
ITB	3	0	0	0	3	0
XLI	3	0	0	0	3	0
XLP	3	0	0	0	3	0		may move from buy
FIEG	0	0	2	0	2	0	may move from buy
FIHD	0	0	2	0	2	0	may move from buy
LTL	2	0	0	0	2	0
UMDD	2	0	0	0	2	0		may move from sell
UPW	0	0	2	0	2	0
AMLP	0	0	2	0	2	0
DIA	0	0	2	0	2	0
EWU	0	0	2	0	2	0
FXI	0	0	2	0	2	0
HEDJ	0	0	2	0	2	0	may move from buy
IEMG	0	0	2	0	2	0
IWD	2	0	0	0	2	0
IYR	1	0	1	0	2	0
SLV	2	0	0	0	2	0
SPY	2	0	0	0	2	0
XLF	0	0	2	0	2	0
XLU	1	0	1	0	2	0
RETL	2	0	0	2	2	2
DRIP	1	0	0	0	1	0		may move from sell
TNA	1	0	0	0	1	0		may move from sell
URTY	1	0	0	0	1	0		may move from sell

And in the cellar

Sym	Day Buy Cnt	Week Buy Cnt	Day Sell Cnt	Week Sell Cnt	Buy Cnt	Sell Cnt
BIS	0	5	0	2	0	7
ERX	0	2	0	5	0	7
YANG	0	5	0	2	0	7
GUSH	0	3	0	3	0	6
SQQQ	0	3	0	3	0	6
DIG	0	3	0	2	0	5
EEV	0	3	0	2	0	5
EPV	0	3	0	2	0	5
EWV	0	5	0	0	0	5		may move from sell
SDOW	0	2	0	3	0	5
SKF	0	3	0	2	0	5
SOXS	0	3	0	2	0	5
TWM	0	3	0	2	0	5
UNG	0	3	0	2	0	5
EDZ	0	2	0	2	0	4
FXP	0	2	0	2	0	4
SRTY	0	2	0	2	0	4
UBIO	0	2	0	2	0	4
UWM	0	1	0	3	0	4
DUST	0	0	0	3	0	3	may move from sell
FINU	0	0	0	3	0	3	may move from sell
LABD	0	0	0	3	0	3
RXL	0	3	0	0	0	3
KRE	0	3	0	0	0	3
XBI	0	2	0	1	0	3
XME	0	3	0	0	0	3
XOP	0	3	0	0	0	3		may move from sell
LABU	0	0	0	2	0	2	may move from sell
DGAZ	0	2	0	0	0	2
KBE	0	2	0	0	0	2
SVXY	0	0	0	2	0	2	may move from sell
TBT	0	2	0	0	0	2
RETL	2	0	0	2	2	2
BRZU	0	1	0	0	0	1
DXD	0	1	0	0	0	1
GASL	0	1	0	0	0	1		may move from sell
LBJ	0	1	0	0	0	1		may move from buy
MVV	0	1	0	0	0	1
QID	0	1	0	0	0	1
SAA	0	0	0	1	0	1
SDS	0	1	0	0	0	1
SPXS	0	1	0	0	0	1
SPXU	0	1	0	0	0	1
TECS	0	1	0	0	0	1
TZA	0	1	0	0	0	1		may move from sell
USD	0	1	0	0	0	1
UYG	0	0	0	1	0	1	may move from sell
XPP	0	1	0	0	0	1		may move from sell
XLE	0	1	0	0	0	1
XRT	0	1	0	0	0	1

Friday, April 14, 2017

ETFs With Point and Figure Chart Buy Indicators.

Symbol	Day Buy	Day Sell	Week Buy	Week Sell	Total Buy	Total Sell
HEDJ	5	0	3	0	8	0
FLGE	3	0	3	0	6	0
UCC	3	0	3	0	6	0
VOO	3	0	3	0	6	0
XLY	3	0	3	0	6	0
FIEG	3	0	2	0	5	0
FIEU	3	0	2	0	5	0
FIHD	3	0	2	0	5	0
EEM	3	0	2	0	5	0
EFA	3	0	2	0	5	0
EWH	3	0	2	0	5	0
EWW	2	0	3	0	5	0
EZU	3	0	2	0	5	0
IEFA	3	0	2	0	5	0
IVV	3	0	2	0	5	0
TVIX	3	0	2	0	5	0
UVXY	3	0	2	0	5	0
VTI	3	0	2	0	5	0
VWO	3	0	2	0	5	0
EURL	2	0	2	0	4	0
GLD	2	0	2	0	4	0
INDA	3	0	1	0	4	0
QQQ	2	0	2	0	4	0
USMV	2	0	2	0	4	0
VEA	2	0	2	0	4	0
VGK	2	0	2	0	4	0
DVYL	0	0	3	0	3	0
LMLP	0	0	3	0	3	0
QLD	3	0	0	0	3	0
EMB	2	0	1	0	3	0
EPI	3	0	0	0	3	0
EWG	3	0	0	0	3	0
EWT	3	0	0	0	3	0
ITB	3	0	0	0	3	0
XLI	3	0	0	0	3	0
GDXX	2	0	0	0	2	0
LTL	2	0	0	0	2	0
SRTY	0	0	2	0	2	0
UPW	0	0	2	0	2	0
DIA	0	0	2	0	2	0
FXI	0	0	2	0	2	0
IEMG	0	0	2	0	2	0
IWD	2	0	0	0	2	0
IYR	1	0	1	0	2	0
JNK	2	0	0	0	2	0
SLV	2	0	0	0	2	0
SPY	2	0	0	0	2	0
UGAZ	0	0	2	0	2	0
XLK	0	0	2	0	2	0
XLP	2	0	0	0	2	0
XLU	1	0	1	0	2	0
VNQ	0	0	1	0	1	0

In the cellar

Symbol	Day Buy	Day Sell	Week Buy	Week Sell	Total Buy	Total Sell
BIS	0	5	0	2	0	7
YANG	0	5	0	2	0	7
DPST	0	3	0	3	0	6
EWV	0	5	0	1	0	6
KRU	0	3	0	3	0	6
SQQQ	0	3	0	3	0	6
DUST	0	2	0	3	0	5
EEV	0	3	0	2	0	5
EPV	0	3	0	2	0	5
ERX	0	2	0	3	0	5
FINU	0	2	0	3	0	5
LABU	0	3	0	2	0	5
SDOW	0	2	0	3	0	5
SOXS	0	3	0	2	0	5
TNA	0	3	0	2	0	5
URTY	0	2	0	3	0	5
SVXY	0	3	0	2	0	5
UNG	0	3	0	2	0	5
XIV	0	3	0	2	0	5
EDZ	0	2	0	2	0	4
FXP	0	2	0	2	0	4
TWM	0	3	0	1	0	4
UWM	0	1	0	3	0	4
BRZU	0	3	0	0	0	3
GUSH	0	3	0	0	0	3
JDST	0	3	0	0	0	3
LABD	0	0	0	3	0	3
RETL	0	1	0	2	0	3
RXL	0	3	0	0	0	3
SKF	0	2	0	1	0	3
UBR	0	3	0	0	0	3
UMDD	0	2	0	1	0	3
UYG	0	2	0	1	0	3
KRE	0	3	0	0	0	3
XBI	0	2	0	1	0	3
XME	0	3	0	0	0	3
XOP	0	3	0	0	0	3
DIG	0	2	0	0	0	2
DRIP	0	0	0	2	0	2
LBJ	0	2	0	0	0	2
QID	0	2	0	0	0	2
RUSL	0	2	0	0	0	2
SOXL	0	2	0	0	0	2
TECS	0	2	0	0	0	2
UBIO	0	1	0	1	0	2
DGAZ	0	2	0	0	0	2
KBE	0	2	0	0	0	2
TBT	0	2	0	0	0	2
DXD	0	1	0	0	0	1
MVV	0	1	0	0	0	1
SAA	0	0	0	1	0	1
SDS	0	1	0	0	0	1
SPXS	0	1	0	0	0	1
SPXU	0	1	0	0	0	1
USD	0	1	0	0	0	1
XRT	0	1	0	0	0	1

Saturday, April 8, 2017

Model's Performance for 5 Days Was Almost Horrible.

But it is still an estimate for 10 days; so there's still time...

This week's guesstimate has pretty much the same picks.

Last week I wrote that I hold DGAZ and XLI and still do; DGAZ really performed poorly.

Picks for the next 10 Days.

Sym	Scale 3-0
Positive
DGAZ	2.62
UDOW	2.59
MVV	2.58
XLI	2.43
JNK	2.4
smhd*	2.39
DRIP	2.38
midu*	2.38
IJR	2.35
IWD	2.35
Negative
GUSH	0.79
FAZ	0.69
TWM	0.69
SKF	0.66
TZA	0.64
YANG	0.64
SOXS	0.52
BIS	0.35
SDOW	0.3
SRTY	0.27

Results for last week's picks.

After 5 days the model got creamed by the positive energy move. Showing only 3 out of 10 for the guesstimated plus movers and 2 out of 10 for the negatives.

Sym	Scale 3-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
BIB	2.4	-1.30%
smhd*	2.4	-1.79%
UMDD	2.36	-2.66%
DGAZ	2.32	-13.83%
CURE	2.25	-0.64%
OIH	2.23	0.52%
XLI	2.22	0.20%
DDM	2.21	0.11%
XRT	2.21	-0.55%
tna*	2.2	-1.86%
Negative
TVIX	0.86	4.59%
UNG	0.8	4.33%
SRTY	0.78	1.72%
EURL	0.76	0.43%
TWM	0.76	1.16%
labu*	0.73	-5.44%
YANG	0.68	-0.25%
TZA	0.56	1.78%
LBJ	0.35	0.33%
UBIO	0.34	-2.16%

Results for the last 10 Days.

After 10 days the model did poorly with 5 out of 10 for positives and 4 out of 10 for the negatives.

Sym	Weight	Last 5 Day Avg	Last 10 Day
		Avg % Change	Avg % Change
Positive
ERY	1.44	2.18%	-8.24%
DUG	1.36	4.80%	-6.27%
EWZ	1.19	3.95%	1.06%
RUSS	1.14	-4.19%	-3.03%
BIB	1.04	0.00%	-1.85%
XRT	0.99	3.10%	0.88%
USMV	0.95	0.93%	0.14%
XLI	0.93	0.93%	1.21%
BND	0.9	2.89%	-0.05%
UPRO	0.84	5.14%	2.25%
Negative
labu*	-0.94	-14.16%	-7.60%
FXP	-0.96	1.15%	1.40%
TZA	-0.96	-5.05%	-2.76%
MVV	-1	1.08%	2.20%
EWW	-1.07	-3.39%	0.34%
VWO	-1.09	2.98%	-0.27%
SLV	-1.16	2.40%	0.30%
UVXY	-1.16	-5.06%	-5.55%
ERX	-1.24	7.09%	8.54%
DIG	-1.48	3.25%	6.46%