Friday, August 25, 2017

10 Day Outlook: Models Are Giving Positive #s for The General Market and Biotechnology.

Top 10 Top and Bottom Picks for the Next 2 Weeks.

Sym Scale
4-0
Positive
SPXL 3.33
BIB 3.29
TQQQ 3.17
LABU 3.16
UPRO 3.1
MIDU 3.05
DTO 3.03
FAS 2.99
SCO 2.98
MVV 2.83
Negative
UVXY 0.9
SQQQ 1.11
TVIX 1.11
SRTY 1.16
VIXY 1.24
TZA 1.25
TVIZ 1.27
VIXM 1.27
UGAZ 1.28
QID 1.29

How last week's 10 Day call is so far looking...

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positive
DGAZ 3.09 -2.57%
UPRO 3.03 1.87%
MIDU 3.02 2.29%
URTY 3 3.96%
TQQQ 2.97 1.89%
SPXL 2.96 1.77%
TNA 2.95 3.90%
MVV 2.9 1.23%
UDOW 2.86 1.71%
DTO 2.85 -3.04%

Average 1.30%
Negative
UVXY 0.52 -18.37%
TVIX 0.53 -18.12%
SQQQ 0.62 -1.99%
SPXS 0.64 -1.97%
SPXU 0.65 -1.97%
VIXY 0.65 -9.04%
SDS 0.85 -1.30%
FAZ 0.88 -2.79%
SOXS 0.92 -3.23%
SDOW 0.93 -1.89%

Average -6.07%

From 2 weeks ago..  The $BRZU (Brazil) call was awesome.

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 10 Day
% Change
Positive
BRZU 3.15 17.45%
MIDU 2.84 -1.16%
TQQQ 2.82 0.08%
UWM 2.82 -0.07%
TNA 2.79 -0.33%
UPRO 2.73 0.00%
CEFL 2.7 2.07%
URTY 2.66 -0.40%
MVV 2.64 -0.68%
SSO 2.58 0.13%

Average 1.71%
Negative
TVIZ 0.5 -11.98%
TVIX 0.81 -26.35%
SQQQ 0.85 -0.81%
UVXY 0.85 -26.73%
BOIL 0.93 -2.29%
SOXS 0.93 -5.88%
VIXM 0.95 -5.81%
SKF 0.98 -1.69%
SPXS 0.99 -0.48%
TECS 1 -3.50%

Average -8.55%

Friday, August 18, 2017

Models Are Looking for More Postives In The General Market Over The Next 2 Weeks.

For the positives - leading the pack is the inverse ETF for Natty.  While the rest of the positives are looking for continued new highs in the gneral market.
For the negatives - it's mostly covered by ETFs looking for the VIX to drop.
Sym Scale
4-0
Positive
DGAZ 3.09
UPRO 3.03
MIDU 3.02
URTY 3
TQQQ 2.97
SPXL 2.96
TNA 2.95
MVV 2.9
UDOW 2.86
DTO 2.85
Negative
UVXY 0.52
TVIX 0.53
SQQQ 0.62
SPXS 0.64
SPXU 0.65
VIXY 0.65
SDS 0.85
FAZ 0.88
SOXS 0.92
SDOW 0.93

Last Week's Calls So Far...

On average last week's call for next week are looking good.
Sym Scale
4-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positive
BRZU 3.15 5.22%
MIDU 2.84 -0.26%
TQQQ 2.82 1.32%
UWM 2.82 -0.38%
TNA 2.79 -0.62%
UPRO 2.73 0.85%
CEFL 2.7 0.92%
URTY 2.66 -0.82%
MVV 2.64 -0.06%
SSO 2.58 0.63%

Average 0.68%



Negative
TVIZ 0.5 -9.76%
TVIX 0.81 -17.53%
SQQQ 0.85 -1.55%
UVXY 0.85 -17.61%
BOIL 0.93 -2.59%
SOXS 0.93 -5.67%
VIXM 0.95 -4.62%
SKF 0.98 -1.52%
SPXS 0.99 -1.03%
TECS 1 -3.25%

Average -6.51%


2 Weeks Ago

But the call from 2 weeks ago were just horrible.

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 10 Day
% Change
Positive
DTO 3.16 5.62%
SOXL 2.99 0.02%
CEFL 2.84 -5.02%
TECL 2.78 -0.62%
TMF 2.76 2.58%
TQQQ 2.76 -2.00%
BRZU 2.7 -0.12%
MIDU 2.69 -6.26%
ROM 2.67 -0.38%
DRN 2.65 -3.68%

Average -0.99%



Negative
TVIZ 0.59 9.36%
TVIX 0.6 21.35%
UVXY 0.6 21.69%
VIXY 0.66 12.62%
SOXS 0.7 -1.35%
VIXM 0.91 4.83%
DRV 0.99 3.75%
DIG 1.22 -6.77%
PSQ 1.24 0.53%
MIDZ 1.26 6.20%

Average 7.22%

Friday, August 11, 2017

Models Are Looking For A Return To Normal.

Brazil tops the list and the inverse VIXs are at the bottom.
Sym Scale
4-0
Positive
BRZU 3.15
MIDU 2.84
TQQQ 2.82
UWM 2.82
TNA 2.79
UPRO 2.73
CEFL 2.7
URTY 2.66
MVV 2.64
SSO 2.58
Negative
TVIZ 0.5
TVIX 0.81
SQQQ 0.85
UVXY 0.85
BOIL 0.93
SOXS 0.93
VIXM 0.95
SKF 0.98
SPXS 0.99
TECS 1




Last week's call for next week is (so far) horrible with only 1 correct call on both sides.
A note about $CEFL is that it issued a significant dividend this week.

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positive
DTO 3.16 2.10%
SOXL 2.99 -0.78%
CEFL 2.84 -4.02%
TECL 2.78 -1.36%
TMF 2.76 1.74%
TQQQ 2.76 -1.73%
BRZU 2.7 -1.11%
MIDU 2.69 -4.57%
ROM 2.67 -1.07%
DRN 2.65 -3.95%

Average -1.48%
Negative
TVIZ 0.59 10.52%
TVIX 0.6 24.25%
UVXY 0.6 24.63%
VIXY 0.66 12.06%
SOXS 0.7 0.33%
VIXM 0.91 5.07%
DRV 0.99 4.40%
DIG 1.22 -3.43%
PSQ 1.24 0.52%
MIDZ 1.26 4.20%

Average 8.26%



The final call - this week's jump in the VIX did not help the negative calls at all.  On the positive side while the right/wrong was 50/50 the overal average  was still a positive.

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 10 Day
% Change
Positive
TMF 3.22 4.25%
DTO 3.17 1.88%
CEFL 2.93 -1.35%
SOXL 2.88 -3.41%
DDM 2.86 1.68%
UPRO 2.78 -0.58%
BRZU 2.77 7.61%
QLD 2.76 -0.74%
UDOW 2.76 2.56%
EUO 2.74 -0.75%

Average 1.12%
Negative
TVIX 0.76 10.15%
UGAZ 0.81 -9.89%
SOXS 0.93 2.80%
TVIZ 0.94 5.87%
UVXY 0.96 10.40%
DXD 1.09 -1.53%
SDOW 1.09 -2.58%
TECS 1.1 -0.62%
JNUG 1.11 -7.17%
TBT 1.12 -2.69%

Average 0.47%

Friday, August 4, 2017

Not Much Change From Last Week's Post.

 
Sym Scale
4-0
Positive
DTO 3.16
SOXL 2.99
CEFL 2.84
TECL 2.78
TMF 2.76
TQQQ 2.76
BRZU 2.7
MIDU 2.69
ROM 2.67
DRN 2.65
Negative
TVIZ 0.59
TVIX 0.6
UVXY 0.6
VIXY 0.66
SOXS 0.7
VIXM 0.91
DRV 0.99
DIG 1.22
PSQ 1.24
MIDZ 1.26

From last week = so far so good.

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positive
TMF 3.22 3.42%
DTO 3.17 0.75%
CEFL 2.93 0.81%
SOXL 2.88 -2.81%
DDM 2.86 1.67%
UPRO 2.78 0.36%
BRZU 2.77 7.69%
QLD 2.76 -0.38%
UDOW 2.76 2.55%
EUO 2.74 -1.27%
Negative
TVIX 0.76 -2.17%
UGAZ 0.81 -14.68%
SOXS 0.93 2.56%
TVIZ 0.94 -1.05%
UVXY 0.96 -2.22%
DXD 1.09 -1.48%
SDOW 1.09 -2.54%
TECS 1.1 -0.45%
JNUG 1.11 -5.47%
TBT 1.12 -2.16%

 

The final outcome is not pretty. This is the results from the call 2 weeks ago.

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 10 Day
% Change
Positive
drip* 3.13 -4.60%
SOXL 2.93 -4.43%
DGAZ 2.84 8.57%
SMH 2.84 -1.41%
KRE 2.79 0.69%
TECL 2.75 0.10%
DUG 2.72 -2.96%
VNQ 2.67 0.49%
ERY 2.66 -4.84%
IYR 2.63 0.26%
Negative
TNA 1.34 -2.60%
SPXS 1.33 -0.25%
UVXY 1.32 -0.71%
UYG 1.29 1.99%
SPXU 1.21 -0.34%
GUSH 1.19 3.63%
URTY 1.16 -2.67%
JNUG 1.08 -0.03%
UBIO 0.93 -5.74%
SOXS 0.87 4.48%