2 Day and 5 Day Look Ahead With Bollinger Band Based Machine Learning Models.

2 Day Look Ahead					5 Day Look Ahead
Symbol	Indicated Move	Chance Better Than Average Indicated Move	Chance of Indicated Move		Symbol	Indicated Move	Chance Better Than Average Indicated Move	Chance of Indicated Move
AGQ	SELL	38.26%	81.88%		AGQ	SELL	73.10%	100.00%
BDCL	SELL	48.28%	80.17%		BDCL	SELL	60.58%	96.15%
BIB	SELL	31.88%	74.64%		BIB	SELL	62.32%	97.83%
BIS	BUY	27.69%	67.69%		BIS	BUY	64.29%	97.62%
BOIL	SELL	53.72%	85.11%		BRZU	SELL	74.84%	97.48%
BRZU	SELL	47.02%	80.79%		CEFL	SELL	65.14%	95.41%
CURE	SELL	33.87%	75.81%		DDM	BUY	70.56%	97.78%
DRN	SELL	36.89%	81.97%		DGLD	BUY	74.51%	98.69%
DSLV	BUY	44.03%	81.13%		DGP	SELL	73.29%	98.76%
DTO	SELL	40.91%	73.48%		DOG	SELL	76.19%	97.88%
DUG	BUY	37.18%	77.56%		DRN	SELL	68.22%	99.22%
EUM	SELL	50.89%	86.39%		DRV	BUY	64.35%	93.04%
EUO	BUY	49.07%	85.09%		DSLV	BUY	71.71%	100.00%
FXP	SELL	46.63%	86.50%		DXD	SELL	72.63%	100.00%
LBJ	SELL	55.35%	80.50%		EDC	SELL	72.73%	99.30%
MORL	SELL	39.32%	76.07%		EDZ	BUY	71.43%	96.83%
NUGT	SELL	41.21%	81.82%		GUSH	SELL	59.32%	97.46%
QID	SELL	49.46%	94.02%		INDL	BUY	74.40%	98.81%
RETL	SELL	38.62%	75.17%		JDST	BUY	75.21%	100.00%
SCO	SELL	48.97%	82.07%		JNUG	SELL	77.56%	95.51%
SPXS	SELL	55.88%	89.41%		LABU	SELL	64.81%	100.00%
SPXU	SELL	52.98%	88.69%		LBJ	SELL	69.87%	99.36%
SQQQ	SELL	51.58%	93.16%		MORL	SELL	63.16%	96.49%
SRS	BUY	32.43%	78.38%		NUGT	SELL	66.46%	97.47%
TBF	SELL	46.29%	86.86%		PSQ	SELL	80.73%	98.62%
TVIX	SELL	64.25%	95.65%		QID	SELL	80.45%	99.55%
UBIO	SELL	35.05%	76.29%		RETL	SELL	71.32%	96.12%
UGAZ	SELL	45.81%	89.94%		SDOW	SELL	76.72%	99.47%
URE	SELL	32.76%	75.00%		SPXS	SELL	73.96%	98.96%
USLV	SELL	49.10%	83.23%		SQQQ	SELL	77.83%	99.10%
UVXY	SELL	59.13%	94.23%		TMF	SELL	70.21%	97.16%
VIXM	SELL	64.92%	88.48%		TVIX	SELL	80.71%	100.00%
VIXY	SELL	65.22%	97.10%		TVIZ	SELL	78.26%	99.52%
YANG	SELL	53.01%	86.14%		UBIO	SELL	65.35%	99.01%
					UDOW	BUY	67.43%	98.86%
					URE	SELL	59.65%	94.74%

How Did The New Bollinger Band Model Do After 5 Days

Symbol	Indicated Move	Chance Better Than Average Indicated Move	Chance of Indicated Move			Actual	Success Rate
AGQ	SELL	58.17%	93.46%		AGQ	SELL	1
BDCL	SELL	48.08%	90.38%		BDCL	SELL	1
BIB	SELL	53.96%	92.09%		BIB	SELL	1
BIS	BUY	55.56%	88.89%		BIS	BUY	1
BRZU	SELL	57.06%	88.34%		BRZU	SELL	1
DGP	SELL	62.58%	94.19%		DGP	SELL	1
DIG	SELL	52.90%	90.97%		DIG	BUY	0
DOG	SELL	64.67%	98.37%		DOG	BUY	0
DRN	SELL	58.96%	88.06%		DRN	SELL	1
DRV	BUY	60.94%	86.72%		DRV	BUY	1
DSLV	SELL	59.51%	93.25%		DSLV	BUY	0
DUG	BUY	54.17%	89.58%		DUG	SELL	0
DXD	SELL	63.24%	95.68%		DXD	BUY	0
JDST	BUY	50.82%	94.26%		JDST	BUY	1
LABU	SELL	55.56%	90.74%		LABU	BUY	0
LBJ	SELL	61.84%	94.08%		LBJ	SELL	1
MORL	SELL	54.55%	88.43%		MORL	SELL	1
RUSL	SELL	55.70%	91.28%		RUSL	SELL	1
SDOW	SELL	65.76%	97.83%		SDOW	BUY	0
SDS	SELL	70.56%	97.46%		SDS	SELL	1
SPXS	SELL	74.11%	96.95%		SPXS	SELL	1
SPXU	SELL	73.23%	97.47%		SPXU	SELL	1
TQQQ	SELL	50.42%	83.19%		TQQQ	BUY	0
TVIX	SELL	75.32%	98.30%		TVIX	SELL	1
TVIZ	SELL	58.38%	97.30%		TVIZ	SELL	1
UBIO	SELL	51.43%	90.48%		UBIO	SELL	1
UGLD	SELL	64.07%	95.81%		UGLD	SELL	1
URE	SELL	53.28%	87.70%		URE	SELL	1
USLV	SELL	70.93%	93.60%		USLV	SELL	1
UVXY	SELL	74.47%	99.57%		UVXY	SELL	1
VIXM	SELL	70.20%	96.97%		VIXM	SELL	1
VIXY	SELL	76.99%	99.12%		VIXY	SELL	1
YCS	BUY	55.84%	92.86%		YCS	SELL	0
YINN	SELL	58.62%	87.59%		YINN	BUY	0
ZSL	SELL	59.01%	95.65%		ZSL	BUY	0
							68.57%

AI Models for Leveraged ETFs Still Have The Gold Miners In Play

10 Day Estimates

 The leveraged ETF for the miners $NUGT a strong positive and $DUST & &JDST strong negatives.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positive
MORL	3.23
NUGT	3.09
DUG	2.92
RETL	2.89
TMF	2.84
BIB	2.82
DRN	2.82
EURL	2.75
DDM	2.72
SCO	2.71
Negative
TBT	0.98
UVXY	0.95
DXD	0.94
TVIZ	0.88
UCO	0.7
TVIX	0.64
BIS	0.63
DUST	0.6
JDST	0.56
GASL	0.34

Last week's 10 Day Estimates... so far not looking to good.

$NUGT was in last week's 10 day call,  it's going to need a very strong week for it to get back to positive.  The same for $JNUG and the mortgage related $MORL.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
DGAZ	3.17	10.38%
TMF	3	-3.08%
JNUG	2.98	-10.97%
DUG	2.97	0.71%
NUGT	2.64	-9.41%
AGQ	2.6	-3.10%
BRZU	2.58	-5.31%
ERY	2.56	1.41%
MORL	2.56	-6.33%
DTO	2.69	-5.92%
Average		-3.16%
Negative
TECS	1	-3.80%
UVXY	1	5.30%
TBT	0.98	2.09%
UCO	0.96	5.35%
BIS	0.95	8.98%
TMV	0.94	3.05%
UGAZ	0.93	-9.81%
TTT	0.87	3.00%
RUSS	0.83	2.17%
GASL	0.74	-1.91%
Average		1.44%

What was called from 2 weeks ago.

Another 2% average gain in the positive group.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positive
DUG	3.22	3.35%
DDM	2.98	4.19%
DGAZ	2.92	9.29%
TQQQ	2.89	-0.30%
UDOW	2.88	6.23%
SCO	2.85	-4.19%
RETL	2.84	4.24%
SPXL	2.76	1.17%
QLD	2.75	-0.16%
DTO	2.69	-3.71%
Average		2.01%
Negative
DIG	1.12	-3.38%
TBF	1.12	2.48%
SQQQ	1.11	0.05%
UBIO	1.11	-16.38%
TECS	1.08	-3.78%
TMV	1.08	7.44%
ERX	1.07	-4.53%
GASL	1.07	-9.91%
UGAZ	1.04	-9.41%
TVIX	0.91	2.89%
Average		-3.45%

New AI Method Using Bollinger Bands for Leveraged ETFs.

Here are the results with a new machine learning program I am testing.   The testing looks at possible moves over the next 5 days.  The %s are back testing numbers.   We'll see...

Symbol	Indicated Move	Chance Better Than Average Indicated Move	Chance of Indicated Move
Agq	SELL	75.70%	95.40%
BIB	SELL	69.70%	92.80%
BIS	BUY	62.20%	88.80%
BRZU	SELL	84.00%	92.40%
DGAZ	BUY	89.20%	92.40%
DRN	SELL	50.90%	91.40%
DSLV	SELL	78.60%	93.80%
DUG	BUY	22.90%	85.30%
DUST	BUY	81.00%	89.10%
EDC	SELL	66.90%	89.00%
ERY	BUY	63.00%	91.90%
GASL	SELL	87.10%	95.50%
GASX	BUY	54.20%	84.10%
GUSH	SELL	82.00%	88.40%
JDST	BUY	81.80%	87.00%
JNUG	SELL	82.40%	90.70%
LABU	SELL	71.60%	91.00%
LBJ	SELL	76.60%	90.40%
NUGT	SELL	79.00%	89.50%
RETL	SELL	45.60%	89.50%
RUSL	SELL	73.60%	91.30%
SOXS	SELL	74.60%	99.60%

10 Day Mover Top and Bottom 10 Leveraged ETF List.

Estimated best and worst in 2 weeks.  $JNUG and $DTO, in the positive list, ruined the results for the call 2 weeks ago.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positive
DGAZ	3.17
TMF	3
JNUG	2.98
DUG	2.97
NUGT	2.64
AGQ	2.6
BRZU	2.58
ERY	2.56
MORL	2.56
DTO	2.69
Negative
TECS	1
UVXY	1
TBT	0.98
UCO	0.96
BIS	0.95
TMV	0.94
UGAZ	0.93
TTT	0.87
RUSS	0.83
GASL	0.74

Last week's 10 day call so far

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
DUG	3.22	1.82%
DDM	2.98	2.93%
DGAZ	2.92	3.66%
TQQQ	2.89	-0.27%
UDOW	2.88	4.25%
SCO	2.85	0.34%
RETL	2.84	3.69%
SPXL	2.76	1.49%
QLD	2.75	-0.15%
DTO	2.69	1.22%
Average		1.90%
Negative
DIG	1.12	-1.73%
TBF	1.12	0.97%
SQQQ	1.11	0.20%
UBIO	1.11	-2.72%
TECS	1.08	-1.27%
TMV	1.08	2.86%
ERX	1.07	-2.30%
GASL	1.07	-3.91%
UGAZ	1.04	-4.21%
TVIX	0.91	-5.51%
Average		-1.76%

2 weeks ago call.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positive
TMF	3.11	2.42%
UST	2.83	0.18%
GASX	2.82	5.56%
DDM	2.72	4.00%
SSO	2.71	1.49%
CEFL	2.65	-0.97%
JNUG	2.64	-10.86%
UDOW	2.64	5.98%
TQQQ	2.62	2.04%
DTO	2.59	-6.29%
Average		0.36%
Negative
GASL	0.69	-5.00%
GUSH	0.88	-3.45%
TBT	0.89	-1.66%
TVIZ	0.89	-8.69%
TMV	0.92	-2.41%
UBIO	0.92	-5.00%
TBF	1	-0.79%
UCO	1	8.71%
PST	1.01	-0.19%
RUSS	1.01	-1.72%
Average		-2.02%

asdf

Inverse Energy and General Market Leveraged ETFs Top The Next 10 Day Positive Outlook List

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positive
DUG	3.22
DDM	2.98
DGAZ	2.92
TQQQ	2.89
UDOW	2.88
SCO	2.85
RETL	2.84
SPXL	2.76
QLD	2.75
DTO	2.69
Negative
DIG	1.12
TBF	1.12
SQQQ	1.11
UBIO	1.11
TECS	1.08
TMV	1.08
ERX	1.07
GASL	1.07
UGAZ	1.04
TVIX	0.91

Last week's picks - so far so good.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
TMF	3.11	3.98%
UST	2.83	0.90%
GASX	2.82	1.55%
DDM	2.72	0.86%
SSO	2.71	0.42%
CEFL	2.65	-0.64%
JNUG	2.64	-1.67%
UDOW	2.64	1.32%
TQQQ	2.62	0.97%
DTO	2.59	-4.94%
Average		0.28%
Negative
GASL	0.69	-1.16%
GUSH	0.88	-0.11%
TBT	0.89	-2.68%
TVIZ	0.89	-3.65%
TMV	0.92	-3.87%
UBIO	0.92	-2.79%
TBF	1	-1.31%
UCO	1	6.19%
PST	1.01	-0.75%
RUSS	1.01	-3.87%
Average		-1.40%

The 10 day call 2 weeks ago did very well.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positive
GASX	2.92	4.68%
TMF	2.85	1.62%
DGAZ	2.75	1.47%
NUGT	2.74	9.89%
TQQQ	2.72	5.19%
EDC	2.69	10.57%
UST	2.68	0.42%
CEFL	2.53	0.45%
QLD	2.48	3.48%
BIB	2.43	0.73%
Average		3.85%
Negative
TVIZ	0.96	-6.21%
TBF	0.95	-0.53%
VIXM	0.92	-3.10%
SQQQ	0.88	-5.01%
TBT	0.88	-1.13%
TMV	0.85	-1.61%
JDST	0.84	-10.13%
BOIL	0.76	-2.77%
GASL	0.75	-4.32%
UGAZ	0.7	-3.64%
Average		-3.85%

Here are the results from the 10 day call 3 weeks ago.  It may indicate that holding on does even better.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 15 Day % Change
Positive
dgaz*	3.3	4.30%
GASX	3.11	-1.91%
DDM	2.81	4.72%
DGLD	2.79	1.49%
TQQQ	2.7	9.29%
SOXL	2.69	20.98%
UDOW	2.68	7.46%
dto*	2.59	1.32%
SSO	2.58	4.35%
QLD	2.56	6.17%
Average		5.82%
Negative
SQQQ	0.72	-8.80%
TVIZ	0.72	-11.25%
UGAZ	0.72	-7.13%
GASL	0.78	1.11%
QID	0.78	-5.97%
TMV	0.85	3.04%
GUSH	0.86	1.29%
TECS	0.87	-10.49%
VIXY	0.9	-13.02%
PSQ	0.91	-3.01%
Average		-5.42%

2 Treasury Related Leveraged ETFs At The Top For Best Movers Over The Next 10 Days.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positive
TMF	3.11
UST	2.83
GASX	2.82
DDM	2.72
SSO	2.71
CEFL	2.65
JNUG	2.64
UDOW	2.64
TQQQ	2.62
DTO	2.59
Negative
GASL	0.69
GUSH	0.88
TBT	0.89
TVIZ	0.89
TMV	0.92
UBIO	0.92
TBF	1
UCO	1
PST	1.01
RUSS	1.01

Last week's 10 day call so far so good.  With an almost 3% gain

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positive
GASX	2.92	1.20%
TMF	2.85	-1.54%
DGAZ	2.75	8.70%
NUGT	2.74	5.37%
TQQQ	2.72	4.13%
EDC	2.69	6.09%
UST	2.68	-0.21%
CEFL	2.53	0.53%
QLD	2.48	2.81%
BIB	2.43	2.69%
Average		2.98%
Negative
TVIZ	0.96	-4.38%
TBF	0.95	0.49%
VIXM	0.92	-2.26%
SQQQ	0.88	-4.07%
TBT	0.88	1.00%
TMV	0.85	1.56%
JDST	0.84	-5.35%
BOIL	0.76	-5.97%
GASL	0.75	-1.09%
UGAZ	0.7	-8.90%
Average		-2.90%

 The results from the call 10 Days ago have an average gain better than 5%

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positive
dgaz*	3.3	9.75%
GASX	3.11	-5.28%
DDM	2.81	3.52%
DGLD	2.79	7.38%
TQQQ	2.7	7.11%
SOXL	2.69	12.98%
UDOW	2.68	5.55%
dto*	2.59	4.98%
SSO	2.58	3.77%
QLD	2.56	4.76%
Average		5.45%
Negative
SQQQ	0.72	-6.94%
TVIZ	0.72	-8.79%
UGAZ	0.72	-10.55%
GASL	0.78	4.75%
QID	0.78	-4.67%
TMV	0.85	5.82%
GUSH	0.86	4.14%
TECS	0.87	-7.47%
VIXY	0.9	-9.11%
PSQ	0.91	-2.33%
Average		-3.52%