Friday, January 26, 2018

The Energies Are Just Destroying The Credence Of The Models.

Sym Scale
4-0
Positives (long)
DGAZ 3.78
KOLD 3.36
MORL 2.77
SVXY 2.67
DDM 2.64
DRN 2.64
UDOW 2.64
YINN 2.58
TMF 2.55
UST 2.47
Negative (short)
DXD 0.93
GASL 0.86
SDOW 0.84
TVIZ 0.79
UBIO 0.78
VIXM 0.65
VIXY 0.63
UGAZ 0.5
UVXY 0.41
TVIX 0.1


Last week so far...
 
Sym Scale
4-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positives (long)
TMF 3.48 1.67%
DRN 3.31 2.57%
MORL 3.24 -0.51%
DGAZ 3.23 -18.38%
URE 3.15 2.51%
GASX 2.95 -1.76%
DTO 2.94 -6.00%
DSLV 2.93 -6.31%
NUGT 2.89 6.41%
DDM 2.71 2.69%
Average -1.71%
Negative (short)
TBT 1.1 -1.03%
TTT 1.01 -1.58%
VIXM 1 3.05%
BOIL 0.99 13.55%
DRV 0.95 -2.66%
VIXY 0.75 4.49%
TVIZ 0.54 5.61%
UGAZ 0.4 20.38%
TVIX 0.22 9.31%
UVXY 0.14 9.42%
Average 6.05%


And the results from two weeks ago.
Sym Scale
4-0
Last 10 Day
% Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ 3.85 -14.78%
DRN 3.27 4.35%
MORL 3.08 -0.93%
TMF 3.07 -2.97%
URE 3.03 4.38%
GASX 2.97 -0.88%
DTO 2.88 -5.03%
UST 2.68 -1.34%
DSLV 2.64 -3.81%
DDM 2.63 4.88%
Average -1.61%
Negative (short)
VIXY 1.07 3.70%
BOIL 1.06 9.79%
USLV 1.05 2.29%
SOXS 1.03 -8.65%
SRS 1.02 -4.43%
DRV 1 -4.74%
GASL 0.85 -0.37%
UVXY 0.84 7.42%
TVIX 0.78 7.34%
ugaz* 0.23 14.74%
Average 2.71%

Friday, January 19, 2018

The Models Prove That You Need More Than The Models - Top/Bottom 10 Leveraged ETFs For Next 2 Weeks.

The call for the next 10 days looks like the call from 2 weeks ago, which performed horribly.

Sym Scale
4-0
Positives (long)
TMF 3.48
DRN 3.31
MORL 3.24
DGAZ 3.23
URE 3.15
GASX 2.95
DTO 2.94
DSLV 2.93
NUGT 2.89
DDM 2.71
Negative (short)
TBT 1.1
TTT 1.01
VIXM 1
BOIL 0.99
DRV 0.95
VIXY 0.75
TVIZ 0.54
UGAZ 0.4
TVIX 0.22
UVXY 0.14
Last weeks call not doing to well.
Sym Scale
4-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ 3.85 -1.02%
DRN 3.27 -0.77%
MORL 3.08 -1.60%
TMF 3.07 -3.20%
URE 3.03 0.22%
GASX 2.97 5.87%
DTO 2.88 -0.11%
UST 2.68 -1.26%
DSLV 2.64 4.52%
DDM 2.63 1.97%
Average 0.46%
Negative (short)
VIXY 1.07 0.90%
BOIL 1.06 0.07%
USLV 1.05 -4.61%
SOXS 1.03 -10.47%
SRS 1.02 -0.37%
DRV 1 0.57%
GASL 0.85 -5.84%
UVXY 0.84 1.85%
TVIX 0.78 1.79%
ugaz* 0.23 0.40%
Average -1.57%

Two weeks ago, ouch

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 10 Day
% Change
Positives (long)
NUGT 3.23 1.72%
DRN 3.07 -9.18%
DSLV 3.03 3.02%
JNUG 2.96 1.97%
DTO 2.91 -8.07%
URE 2.85 -5.53%
TMF 2.82 -4.32%
UST 2.69 -1.92%
ZSL 2.63 1.89%
MORL 2.59 -8.07%
Average -2.85%
Negative (short)
SOXS 1.07 -8.87%
ugaz* 1.05 33.55%
DRV 1.04 9.72%
TVIZ 0.97 -0.08%
VIXY 0.97 2.70%
SRS 0.96 5.65%
GASL 0.94 1.82%
UCO 0.84 6.49%
UVXY 0.68 5.48%
TVIX 0.4 5.39%
Average 6.19%

Tuesday, January 16, 2018

$DGAZ On Top of BOC List


Sym MA % BB % MACD % Aroon % Slope % LR % Mom % TSF % BOC %
DGAZ Buy 60.22% Buy 58.67% Buy 53.85% Buy 50.85% Buy 57.14% Buy 53.94% Sell 45.87% Buy 57.81% Buy 100.00%
FAZ Sell 41.00% Sell 43.11% Sell 39.83% Sell 34.59% Sell 41.67% Buy 100.00% Sell 37.27% Buy 56.25% Buy 100.00%
RUSS Sell 40.70% Buy 51.30% Sell 44.83% Sell 45.07% Sell 38.81% Buy 58.33% Sell 40.64% Buy 52.11% Buy 100.00%
BZQ Sell 43.96% Sell 46.48% Sell 43.27% Buy 62.20% Sell 36.99% ? ? Sell 37.92% Buy 60.00% Buy 85.71%
SPXL Buy 60.89% Buy 66.90% Buy 61.06% Buy 66.67% Buy 73.12% Buy 100.00% Buy 56.17% Buy 55.36% Buy 80.15%
EDC Buy 51.41% Buy 50.20% Sell 45.88% Buy 61.85% Buy 58.24% Buy 75.00% Buy 52.19% Buy 56.08% Buy 77.42%
QLD Buy 63.68% Buy 62.50% Buy 66.67% Buy 58.82% Buy 66.18% Buy 60.00% Buy 61.25% Buy 66.67% Buy 77.09%
UDOW Buy 67.25% Buy 60.13% Buy 61.22% Buy 66.94% Buy 60.00% Buy 59.90% Buy 62.12% Buy 57.14% Buy 77.08%
BRZU Buy 90.91% Sell 49.64% Buy 56.55% Buy 73.33% Buy 61.33% Buy 60.00% Buy 56.78% Buy 52.94% Buy 76.92%
MA -Moving Average
BB - Bollinger Bands
MACD - Moving Average Convergence Divergence
Aroon - Aroon Oscillator
Slope - Slope of Price to MA
LR - Linear Regression
Mom - Momentum
TSF - Time Series Forecast
BOC - Best of Class (how to react to the other 8 calls)


Exp Change = an attempt to guess the change

Saturday, January 13, 2018

The Long Calls From 2 Weeks Ago Didn't Do Well; And Last Week''s #s Are In Trouble


With $DGAZ on top of the longs and $UGAZ on the bottom of shorts and with the current cold snap across the U.S.  ...  just using price change in the models' attributes is not enough....

Sym Scale
4-0
Positives (long)
DGAZ 3.85
DRN 3.27
MORL 3.08
TMF 3.07
URE 3.03
GASX 2.97
DTO 2.88
UST 2.68
DSLV 2.64
DDM 2.63
Negative (short)
VIXY 1.07
BOIL 1.06
USLV 1.05
SOXS 1.03
SRS 1.02
DRV 1
GASL 0.85
UVXY 0.84
TVIX 0.78
ugaz* 0.23


 Last week's top/bottom 10 ... hopefully they'll recover.

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positives (long)
NUGT 3.23 1.77%
DRN 3.07 -8.53%
DSLV 3.03 1.05%
JNUG 2.96 1.49%
DTO 2.91 -7.31%
URE 2.85 -5.63%
TMF 2.82 -3.10%
UST 2.69 -0.85%
ZSL 2.63 0.55%
MORL 2.59 -3.32%
Average -2.39%
Negative (short)
SOXS 1.07 2.62%
ugaz* 1.05 28.05%
DRV 1.04 9.09%
TVIZ 0.97 -4.01%
VIXY 0.97 -1.18%
SRS 0.96 5.94%
GASL 0.94 8.11%
UCO 0.84 7.12%
UVXY 0.68 -2.36%
TVIX 0.4 -2.47%
Average 5.09%

The longs got by just barely.

 
Sym Scale
4-0
Last 10 Day
% Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ 3.54 -4.19%
NUGT 3.17 -0.40%
DTO 2.96 -10.48%
SOXL 2.95 9.97%
DRN 2.85 -13.03%
UST 2.77 -1.77%
CURE 2.76 11.42%
TMF 2.76 -4.78%
DDM 2.72 6.49%
fas* 2.7 7.76%
Average 0.10%
Negative (short)
GASL 1.13 13.04%
TVIZ 1.07 -8.56%
SOXS 1.06 -10.25%
SQQQ 1.03 -11.07%
TECS 0.98 -9.49%
VIXY 0.87 -5.56%
BOIL 0.83 -2.31%
TVIX 0.72 -11.24%
UVXY 0.56 -11.43%
ugaz* 0.28 -0.62%
Average -5.75%

Friday, January 12, 2018

Top 10 L.ETFs With Highest Estimated Confidence of A Positive Move Over The Next 10 Market Days


Sym MA % BB % MACD % Aroon % Slope % LR % Mom % TSF % BOC %
BDCL Buy 54.29% Sell 48.09% Sell 42.86% Buy 51.76% Buy 59.26% Buy 63.89% Buy 60.71% Buy 61.05% Buy 100.00%
CURE Buy 56.20% Buy 55.74% Sell 45.83% Buy 61.22% Sell 47.50% Sell 45.45% Buy 51.72% Buy 56.76% Buy 100.00%
ERX Buy 50.96% Buy 59.09% Sell 48.51% Sell 42.55% Buy 52.00% ? ? Sell 48.63% Buy 62.50% Buy 100.00%
EUO Buy 55.56% Sell 40.57% Buy 52.08% Buy 52.63% Buy 60.00% Buy 52.17% Buy 63.04% Buy 60.87% Buy 100.00%
EURL Sell 49.30% Sell 48.13% Buy 56.25% Buy 68.12% Buy 58.24% Buy 61.11% Buy 57.20% Buy 54.55% Buy 100.00%
LBJ Buy 52.13% Sell 48.41% Buy 57.58% Buy 57.58% Buy 57.32% ? ? Buy 52.22% Buy 52.17% Buy 100.00%
DGAZ Buy 66.67% Buy 58.67% Buy 52.31% Buy 73.08% Buy 57.69% Buy 53.94% Buy 53.12% Buy 53.23% Buy 91.89%
TMF Buy 53.69% Buy 53.81% Sell 41.18% Buy 58.73% Buy 54.04% Buy 62.50% Buy 56.50% Buy 87.50% Buy 80.00%
UBIO Sell 44.54% Buy 50.89% Buy 51.65% Buy 56.00% Sell 46.34% Buy 54.74% Sell 34.04% Buy 66.67% Buy 80.00%
UDOW Buy 67.13% Buy 60.00% Buy 60.16% Buy 59.26% Buy 60.00% Buy 67.12% Buy 62.17% Buy 57.14% Buy 77.08%

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

BOC Top 10 L.ETF Picks for the Next 10 Days


Sym MA % BB % MACD % Aroon % Slope % LR % Mom % TSF % BOC %
CURE Buy 55.86% Buy 55.56% Buy 52.43% Buy 61.22% Sell 48.39% Buy 56.18% Sell 42.39% Buy 60.00% Buy 100.00%
DRV Sell 29.41% Sell 43.57% Sell 49.07% Sell 25.93% Sell 21.82% ? ? Sell 39.05% Buy 58.00% Buy 100.00%
ERX Buy 50.64% Buy 58.46% Sell 50.00% Sell 42.55% Buy 67.65% Buy 66.67% Sell 48.07% Buy 52.94% Buy 100.00%
GLL Buy 50.98% Sell 50.00% Buy 57.80% Buy 54.47% Buy 60.10% Buy 60.51% Buy 55.09% Sell 44.64% Buy 100.00%
TMF Buy 53.69% Buy 55.63% Buy 55.67% Sell 46.55% Buy 51.92% Buy 57.43% Buy 51.56% Buy 54.84% Buy 86.96%
UYG Buy 54.55% Buy 55.84% Buy 57.50% Buy 63.33% Buy 60.53% Buy 54.84% Buy 60.40% Buy 69.44% Buy 83.19%
SVXY Buy 59.76% Buy 58.24% Sell 43.75% Buy 67.65% Buy 65.66% Buy 63.16% Buy 65.56% Buy 60.61% Buy 81.82%
FAS Buy 55.17% Buy 54.40% Buy 57.76% Buy 63.41% Buy 67.74% Buy 56.18% Buy 54.61% Buy 55.91% Buy 81.02%
UPRO Buy 62.08% Buy 61.32% Buy 65.12% Buy 64.71% Buy 74.71% Buy 58.33% Buy 61.64% Buy 59.52% Buy 77.21%
QLD Buy 58.43% Buy 62.50% Buy 59.26% Buy 59.26% Buy 66.18% Buy 67.31% Buy 65.89% Buy 69.23% Buy 76.97%

Monday, January 8, 2018

Best of Class - Top 10 Estimated Buy Calls Over Next 10 Days For Leveraged ETFs.

Sym MA soc BB soc MACD soc Aroon soc Slope soc LR soc Mom soc TSF soc BOC soc
NUGT Sell 0.43 Sell 0.46 Sell 0.42 Buy 0.61 Buy 0.56 Buy 0.59 Sell 0.48 Buy 0.55 Buy 1.00
YCS Sell 0.49 Buy 0.57 Buy 0.68 Buy 0.53 Buy 0.52 Buy 0.56 Buy 0.56 Buy 0.54 Buy 0.91
TNA Buy 0.54 Buy 0.53 Buy 0.56 Buy 0.62 Buy 0.72 Buy 0.55 Buy 0.53 Buy 0.86 Buy 0.90
TVIX Sell 0.32 Sell 0.34 Sell 0.36 Sell 0.26 Sell 0.20 Buy 0.67 Sell 0.33 Sell 0.46 Buy 0.88
BRZU Sell 0.49 Buy 0.59 Sell 0.33 Buy 0.64 Buy 0.67 Sell 0.17 Buy 0.59 Sell 0.47 Buy 0.83
EPV Sell 0.44 Sell 0.41 Buy 0.54 Sell 0.46 Buy 0.54 Sell 0.44 Sell 0.38 Buy 0.56 Buy 0.80
CURE Buy 0.56 Buy 0.55 Buy 0.55 Buy 0.70 Buy 0.56 Buy 0.56 Buy 0.60 Buy 0.60 Buy 0.78
QLD Buy 0.63 Buy 0.58 Buy 0.56 Buy 0.62 Buy 1.00 Buy 0.64 Buy 0.54 Buy 0.56 Buy 0.77
UPRO Buy 0.62 Buy 0.61 Buy 0.62 Buy 0.65 Buy 0.75 Buy 0.60 Buy 0.62 Buy 0.60 Buy 0.77
TECL Buy 0.59 Buy 0.58 Buy 0.57 Buy 0.54 Buy 0.75 Buy 0.59 Buy 0.59 Buy 0.63 Buy 0.76
Legend soc - strength of call 
MA -Moving Average
BB - Bollinger Bands
MACD - Moving Average Convergence Divergence
Aroon - Aroon Oscillator
Slope - Slope of Price to MA
LR - Linear Regression
Mom - Momentum
TSF - Time Series Forecast
BOC - Best of Class (how to react to the other 8 calls)

Friday, January 5, 2018

$NUGT and $JNUG Estimated To Be Some Of The Best Leveraged ETF Movers Over the Next 2 Weeks.

This Week's 10 Day Call

Actually $NUGT has been in the top 10 for the last several weeks.  So the models are looking for a continuation up price move for the miners.  With $DSLV and $ZSL, in the top 10, the models are looking for a downside price move with silver; and $DGLD shows up in the 15th spot so ...

Sym Scale
4-0
Positives (long)
NUGT 3.23
DRN 3.07
DSLV 3.03
JNUG 2.96
DTO 2.91
URE 2.85
TMF 2.82
UST 2.69
ZSL 2.63
MORL 2.59
Negative (short)
SOXS 1.07
ugaz* 1.05
DRV 1.04
TVIZ 0.97
VIXY 0.97
SRS 0.96
GASL 0.94
UCO 0.84
UVXY 0.68
TVIX 0.4

Last Week So Far.

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ 3.54 16.20%
NUGT 3.17 1.99%
DTO 2.96 -4.60%
SOXL 2.95 12.05%
DRN 2.85 -6.40%
UST 2.77 -0.55%
CURE 2.76 6.36%
TMF 2.76 -0.74%
DDM 2.72 3.22%
fas* 2.7 3.33%
Average 3.09%
Negative (short)
GASL 1.13 7.66%
TVIZ 1.07 -3.97%
SOXS 1.06 -11.50%
SQQQ 1.03 -7.37%
TECS 0.98 -7.30%
VIXY 0.87 -4.02%
BOIL 0.83 -10.41%
TVIX 0.72 -8.03%
UVXY 0.56 -8.49%
ugaz* 0.28 -15.99%
Average -6.94%

From 2 Weeks Ago. The Final Result.

Sym Scale
4-0
Last 10 Day
% Change
Positives (long)
LABU 3.18 9.05%
NUGT 3.18 7.42%
DTO 2.97 -8.86%
ERY 2.93 -10.16%
TMF 2.9 2.12%
DRN 2.87 -2.09%
DUG 2.87 -6.76%
AGQ 2.83 9.00%
DDM 2.74 2.64%
UDOW 2.67 3.99%
Average 0.64%
Negative (short)
SPXS 1.08 -4.81%
DXD 1.06 -2.84%
DRV 1.04 1.68%
SRS 1.04 1.09%
UCO 1.02 8.85%
SOXS 0.96 -12.02%
VIXY 0.91 -5.14%
UVXY 0.65 -10.36%
GASL 0.47 13.74%
TVIX 0.44 -10.14%
Average -2.00%