Wednesday, August 19, 2020

I Continue To Avoid The Energy Sector

Both the Monte Carlo and QLearning models are saying avoid the Energy sector.  My newsletter The Short Term Trader says the energy sector does not have good numbers over the next 30 days.

Monte CarloQlearning
XOP
SPDR Oil & Gas
to cashto stocks
XOP
SPDR Oil & Gas
to cashto stocks
was cash:33.4%0%
was cash:12.7%15.9%
was stocks:26.9%39.7%
was stocks:56.4%15%

60.3%39.7%bearish
69.1%30.9%bearish
XLE
Energy Select Sector
to cashto stocks
XLE
Energy Select Sector
to cashto stocks
was cash:50.8%0%
was cash:71.7%13.2%
was stocks:15.3%33.9%
was stocks:15.1%0%

66.1%33.9%bearish
86.8%13.2%bearish
OIH
VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs.
to cashto stocks
OIH
VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs.
to cashto stocks
was cash:45.7%13.5%
was cash:44.8%29.5%
was stocks:0%40.8%
was stocks:9.8%15.9%

45.7%54.3%bullish
54.5%45.5%bearish
XES
SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs
to cashto stocks
XES
SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs
to cashto stocks
was cash:34.3%48.5%
was cash:50.3%11.7%
was stocks:0%17.2%
was stocks:0%38%

34.3%65.7%bullish
50.3%49.7%bearish
IYE
iShares U.S. Energy
to cashto stocks
IYE
iShares U.S. Energy
to cashto stocks
was cash:46.2%31.8%
was cash:49.9%0%
was stocks:0%21.9%
was stocks:50.1%0%

46.2%53.8%bullish
100%0%bearish
FXN
First Trust Energy
to cashto stocks
FXN
First Trust Energy
to cashto stocks
was cash:29.3%0%
was cash:48%0%
was stocks:15.6%55.1%
was stocks:38.3%13.7%

44.9%55.1%bullish
86.3%13.7%bearish
IXC
iShares Global Energy
to cashto stocks
IXC
iShares Global Energy
to cashto stocks
was cash:48.8%0%
was cash:65.9%0%
was stocks:18.7%32.5%
was stocks:17.6%16.4%

67.5%32.5%bearish
83.6%16.4%bearish
VDE
Vanguard Energy
to cashto stocks
VDE
Vanguard Energy
to cashto stocks
was cash:31.3%32.8%
was cash:51.9%11.9%
was stocks:14.6%21.3%
was stocks:16.7%19.5%

45.9%54.1%bullish
68.6%31.4%bearish
FENY
Fid. MSCI Energy
to cashto stocks
FENY
Fid. MSCI Energy
to cashto stocks
was cash:45.7%18.2%
was cash:30.8%0%
was stocks:14.4%21.7%
was stocks:34.1%35.1%

60.1%39.9%bearish
64.9%35.1%bearish
FCG
First Trust Natural Gas
to cashto stocks
FCG
First Trust Natural Gas
to cashto stocks
was cash:45.9%17.9%
was cash:77.2%0%
was stocks:36.2%0%
was stocks:14.7%8.1%

82.1%17.9%bearish
91.9%8.1%bearish

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