Thursday, March 7, 2019

Monte Carlo Models Are Bullish

Monte Carlo QLearning
XOP to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF XOP to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
was cash 26.67% 16.38%
was cash 5.45% 9.17%
was stocks 8.31% 48.64%
was stocks 77.97% 7.41%

34.98% 65.02% bullish
83.42% 16.58% bearish
XLE to cash to stocks Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund XLE to cash to stocks Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
was cash 24.98% 24.06%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 7.44% 43.53%
was stocks 64.01% 35.99%

32.42% 67.59% bullish
64.01% 35.99% bearish
OIH to cash to stocks VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF OIH to cash to stocks VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF
was cash 9.17% 25.10%
was cash 11.34% 5.20%
was stocks 18.27% 47.46%
was stocks 83.46% 0.00%

27.44% 72.56% bullish
94.80% 5.20% bearish
XES to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF XES to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF
was cash 8.62% 30.48%
was cash 4.96% 5.28%
was stocks 19.69% 41.21%
was stocks 81.89% 7.88%

28.31% 71.70% bullish
86.84% 13.16% bearish
IYE to cash to stocks iShares U.S. Energy ETF IYE to cash to stocks iShares U.S. Energy ETF
was cash 41.08% 24.10%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 0.00% 34.82%
was stocks 79.01% 20.99%

41.08% 58.92% bullish
79.01% 20.99% bearish
FXN to cash to stocks First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund FXN to cash to stocks First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund
was cash 34.90% 25.12%
was cash 10.68% 11.02%
was stocks 8.13% 31.86%
was stocks 63.25% 15.06%

43.03% 56.98% bullish
73.93% 26.07% bearish
IXC to cash to stocks iShares Global Energy ETF IXC to cash to stocks iShares Global Energy ETF
was cash 8.26% 16.20%
was cash 33.06% 6.40%
was stocks 0.00% 75.54%
was stocks 60.54% 0.00%

8.26% 91.74% bullish
93.60% 6.40% bearish
VDE to cash to stocks Vanguard Energy ETF VDE to cash to stocks Vanguard Energy ETF
was cash 49.13% 16.20%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 0.00% 34.67%
was stocks 79.08% 20.92%

49.13% 50.87% bullish
79.08% 20.92% bearish
FENY to cash to stocks Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF FENY to cash to stocks Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF
was cash 16.83% 40.47%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 7.81% 34.89%
was stocks 57.46% 42.54%

24.64% 75.36% bullish
57.46% 42.54% bearish
FCG to cash to stocks First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index Fund FCG to cash to stocks First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index Fund
was cash 18.03% 33.08%
was cash 5.41% 15.67%
was stocks 23.93% 24.96%
was stocks 63.23% 15.69%

41.96% 58.05% bullish
68.64% 31.36% bearish

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Very Bearish Outlook

Monte Carlo QLearning
XOP to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF XOP to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
was cash 34.24% 8.70%
was cash 36.49% 6.18%
was stocks 16.36% 40.70%
was stocks 48.21% 9.12%

50.60% 49.40% bearish
84.70% 15.30% bearish
XLE to cash to stocks Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund XLE to cash to stocks Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
was cash 32.98% 8.00%
was cash 62.02% 7.06%
was stocks 7.09% 51.93%
was stocks 7.57% 23.36%

40.07% 59.93% bullish
69.58% 30.42% bearish
OIH to cash to stocks VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF OIH to cash to stocks VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF
was cash 25.28% 25.86%
was cash 70.70% 0.00%
was stocks 7.93% 40.93%
was stocks 19.05% 10.25%

33.21% 66.79% bullish
89.75% 10.25% bearish
XES to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF XES to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF
was cash 26.93% 23.37%
was cash 66.98% 6.93%
was stocks 25.25% 24.45%
was stocks 26.09% 0.00%

52.19% 47.81% bearish
93.07% 6.93% bearish
IYE to cash to stocks iShares U.S. Energy ETF IYE to cash to stocks iShares U.S. Energy ETF
was cash 57.26% 0.00%
was cash 48.10% 6.30%
was stocks 7.28% 35.46%
was stocks 15.00% 30.62%

64.54% 35.46% bearish
63.09% 36.91% bearish
FXN to cash to stocks First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund FXN to cash to stocks First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund
was cash 25.27% 0.00%
was cash 58.76% 0.00%
was stocks 41.56% 33.18%
was stocks 41.24% 0.00%

66.82% 33.18% bearish
100.00% 0.00% bearish
IXC to cash to stocks iShares Global Energy ETF IXC to cash to stocks iShares Global Energy ETF
was cash 24.09% 15.92%
was cash 28.03% 0.00%
was stocks 7.70% 52.29%
was stocks 36.70% 35.27%

31.79% 68.21% bullish
64.73% 35.27% bearish
VDE to cash to stocks Vanguard Energy ETF VDE to cash to stocks Vanguard Energy ETF
was cash 40.60% 0.00%
was cash 54.70% 0.00%
was stocks 16.24% 43.16%
was stocks 22.54% 22.76%

56.84% 43.16% bearish
77.24% 22.76% bearish
FENY to cash to stocks Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF FENY to cash to stocks Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF
was cash 57.40% 0.00%
was cash 55.13% 6.76%
was stocks 7.11% 35.50%
was stocks 30.66% 7.45%

64.50% 35.50% bearish
85.79% 14.21% bearish
FCG to cash to stocks First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index Fund FCG to cash to stocks First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index Fund
was cash 45.22% 24.95%
was cash 25.07% 5.35%
was stocks 0.00% 29.83%
was stocks 53.49% 16.10%

45.22% 54.78% bullish
78.55% 21.45% bearish

Saturday, February 16, 2019

A Mixed Call

Monte Carlo QLearning
XOP to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF XOP to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
was cash 42.74% 9.06%
was cash 4.51% 4.35%
was stocks 23.47% 24.74%
was stocks 0.00% 91.13%

66.21% 33.79% bearish
4.51% 95.49% bullish
XLE to cash to stocks Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund XLE to cash to stocks Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
was cash 26.81% 7.21%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 23.73% 42.24%
was stocks 0.00% 100.00%

50.55% 49.46% bearish
0.00% 100.00% bullish
OIH to cash to stocks VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF OIH to cash to stocks VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF
was cash 43.17% 0.00%
was cash 6.20% 22.58%
was stocks 6.80% 50.03%
was stocks 0.00% 71.21%

49.97% 50.03% bullish
6.20% 93.80% bullish
XES to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF XES to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF
was cash 42.76% 14.08%
was cash 5.84% 9.80%
was stocks 14.55% 28.62%
was stocks 8.04% 76.32%

57.31% 42.70% bearish
13.88% 86.12% bullish
IYE to cash to stocks iShares U.S. Energy ETF IYE to cash to stocks iShares U.S. Energy ETF
was cash 18.40% 31.77%
was cash 0.00% 6.36%
was stocks 30.94% 18.90%
was stocks 0.00% 93.64%

49.33% 50.67% bullish
0.00% 100.00% bullish
FXN to cash to stocks First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund FXN to cash to stocks First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund
was cash 32.73% 9.31%
was cash 0.00% 16.32%
was stocks 22.95% 35.01%
was stocks 0.00% 83.68%

55.68% 44.32% bearish
0.00% 100.00% bullish
IXC to cash to stocks iShares Global Energy ETF IXC to cash to stocks iShares Global Energy ETF
was cash 9.13% 33.32%
was cash 6.99% 21.19%
was stocks 30.59% 26.96%
was stocks 0.00% 71.82%

39.72% 60.28% bullish
6.99% 93.01% bullish
VDE to cash to stocks Vanguard Energy ETF VDE to cash to stocks Vanguard Energy ETF
was cash 26.34% 32.00%
was cash 0.00% 6.35%
was stocks 22.93% 18.73%
was stocks 0.00% 93.65%

49.27% 50.73% bullish
0.00% 100.00% bullish
FENY to cash to stocks Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF FENY to cash to stocks Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF
was cash 18.60% 32.84%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 29.55% 19.01%
was stocks 0.00% 100.00%

48.15% 51.85% bullish
0.00% 100.00% bullish
FCG to cash to stocks First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index Fund FCG to cash to stocks First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index Fund
was cash 35.80% 9.74%
was cash 17.29% 10.40%
was stocks 38.10% 16.35%
was stocks 0.00% 72.32%

73.91% 26.09% bearish
17.29% 82.71% bullish

Thursday, February 7, 2019

Models Now More Bearish Than Bullish

Monte Carlo Qlearning
XOP to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF XOP to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
was cash 19.14% 48.38%
was cash 57.45% 0.00%
was stocks 9.13% 23.35%
was stocks 42.55% 0.00%

28.27% 71.73% bullish
100.00% 0.00% bearish
XLE to cash to stocks Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund XLE to cash to stocks Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
was cash 32.77% 15.82%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 16.76% 34.65%
was stocks 79.80% 20.20%

49.53% 50.47% bullish
79.80% 20.20% bearish
OIH to cash to stocks VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF OIH to cash to stocks VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF
was cash 19.36% 0.00%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 33.65% 46.99%
was stocks 61.84% 38.16%

53.01% 46.99% bearish
61.84% 38.16% bearish
XES to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF XES to cash to stocks SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF
was cash 17.40% 0.00%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 16.58% 66.03%
was stocks 78.77% 21.23%

33.97% 66.03% bullish
78.77% 21.23% bearish
IYE to cash to stocks iShares U.S. Energy ETF IYE to cash to stocks iShares U.S. Energy ETF
was cash 49.36% 16.43%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 15.28% 18.93%
was stocks 78.72% 21.28%

64.64% 35.36% bearish
78.72% 21.28% bearish
FXN to cash to stocks First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund FXN to cash to stocks First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund
was cash 25.38% 22.27%
was cash 30.61% 0.00%
was stocks 9.80% 42.55%
was stocks 69.39% 0.00%

35.18% 64.82% bullish
100.00% 0.00% bearish
IXC to cash to stocks iShares Global Energy ETF IXC to cash to stocks iShares Global Energy ETF
was cash 25.23% 7.74%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 25.54% 41.49%
was stocks 92.81% 7.19%

50.76% 49.24% bearish
92.81% 7.19% bearish
VDE to cash to stocks Vanguard Energy ETF VDE to cash to stocks Vanguard Energy ETF
was cash 32.78% 25.10%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 23.38% 18.74%
was stocks 78.89% 21.11%

56.16% 43.84% bearish
78.89% 21.11% bearish
FENY to cash to stocks Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF FENY to cash to stocks Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF
was cash 40.41% 16.13%
was cash 0.00% 0.00%
was stocks 15.25% 28.20%
was stocks 78.65% 21.35%

55.67% 44.33% bearish
78.65% 21.35% bearish
FCG to cash to stocks First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index Fund FCG to cash to stocks First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index Fund
was cash 18.92% 7.08%
was cash 73.83% 0.00%
was stocks 18.67% 55.33%
was stocks 26.17% 0.00%

37.59% 62.41% bullish
100.00% 0.00% bearish