The models disagree with each other, and the differential between cash/stock is high in both.
| Monte Carlo | Qlearning | ||||||
| XOP SPDR Oil & Gas | to cash | to stocks | XOP SPDR Oil & Gas | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 21.8% | 0% | was cash: | 66.2% | 0% | ||
| was stocks: | 22.7% | 55.4% | was stocks: | 33.8% | 0% | ||
| 44.6% | 55.4% | bullish | 100% | 0% | bearish | ||
| XLE Energy Select Sector | to cash | to stocks | XLE Energy Select Sector | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 36.7% | 0% | was cash: | 69.7% | 12.9% | ||
| was stocks: | 0% | 63.3% | was stocks: | 0% | 17.4% | ||
| 36.7% | 63.3% | bullish | 69.7% | 30.3% | bearish | ||
| OIH VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs. | to cash | to stocks | OIH VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs. | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 17.6% | 0% | was cash: | 88% | 12% | ||
| was stocks: | 0% | 82.4% | was stocks: | 0% | 0% | ||
| 17.6% | 82.4% | bullish | 88% | 12% | bearish | ||
| XES SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs | to cash | to stocks | XES SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 40.5% | 0% | was cash: | 60.8% | 12.4% | ||
| was stocks: | 0% | 59.5% | was stocks: | 26.8% | 0% | ||
| 40.5% | 59.5% | bullish | 87.6% | 12.4% | bearish | ||
| IYE iShares U.S. Energy | to cash | to stocks | IYE iShares U.S. Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 20.4% | 0% | was cash: | 86.3% | 13.7% | ||
| was stocks: | 0% | 79.6% | was stocks: | 0% | 0% | ||
| 20.4% | 79.6% | bullish | 86.3% | 13.7% | bearish | ||
| FXN First Trust Energy | to cash | to stocks | FXN First Trust Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 38.1% | 0% | was cash: | 81% | 0% | ||
| was stocks: | 0% | 61.9% | was stocks: | 19% | 0% | ||
| 38.1% | 61.9% | bullish | 100% | 0% | bearish | ||
| IXC iShares Global Energy | to cash | to stocks | IXC iShares Global Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 34.7% | 0% | was cash: | 71% | 29% | ||
| was stocks: | 0% | 65.3% | was stocks: | 0% | 0% | ||
| 34.7% | 65.3% | bullish | 71% | 29% | bearish | ||
| VDE Vanguard Energy | to cash | to stocks | VDE Vanguard Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 21.3% | 0% | was cash: | 87.2% | 12.8% | ||
| was stocks: | 0% | 78.7% | was stocks: | 0% | 0% | ||
| 21.3% | 78.7% | bullish | 87.2% | 12.8% | bearish | ||
| FENY Fid. MSCI Energy | to cash | to stocks | FENY Fid. MSCI Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 21% | 0% | was cash: | 39% | 43.7% | ||
| was stocks: | 0% | 79% | was stocks: | 0% | 17.3% | ||
| 21% | 79% | bullish | 39% | 61% | bullish | ||
| FCG First Trust Natural Gas | to cash | to stocks | FCG First Trust Natural Gas | to cash | to stocks | ||
| was cash: | 35.3% | 0% | was cash: | 73.9% | 0% | ||
| was stocks: | 19.7% | 45% | was stocks: | 8.9% | 17.2% | ||
| 55% | 45% | bearish | 82.8% | 17.2% | bearish | ||
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