Saturday, April 8, 2017

Model's Performance for 5 Days Was Almost Horrible.

But it is still an estimate for 10 days; so there's still time... 

This week's guesstimate has pretty much the same picks.  

Last week I wrote that I hold DGAZ and XLI and still do; DGAZ really performed poorly. 

 Picks for the next 10 Days.


Sym Scale
3-0
Positive
DGAZ 2.62
UDOW 2.59
MVV 2.58
XLI 2.43
JNK 2.4
smhd* 2.39
DRIP 2.38
midu* 2.38
IJR 2.35
IWD 2.35
Negative
GUSH 0.79
FAZ 0.69
TWM 0.69
SKF 0.66
TZA 0.64
YANG 0.64
SOXS 0.52
BIS 0.35
SDOW 0.3
SRTY 0.27

Results for last week's picks.

After 5 days the model got creamed by the positive energy move.  Showing only 3 out of 10 for the guesstimated plus movers and 2 out of 10 for the negatives.
Sym Scale
3-0
Last 5 Day
% Change
Positive
BIB 2.4 -1.30%
smhd* 2.4 -1.79%
UMDD 2.36 -2.66%
DGAZ 2.32 -13.83%
CURE 2.25 -0.64%
OIH 2.23 0.52%
XLI 2.22 0.20%
DDM 2.21 0.11%
XRT 2.21 -0.55%
tna* 2.2 -1.86%
Negative
TVIX 0.86 4.59%
UNG 0.8 4.33%
SRTY 0.78 1.72%
EURL 0.76 0.43%
TWM 0.76 1.16%
labu* 0.73 -5.44%
YANG 0.68 -0.25%
TZA 0.56 1.78%
LBJ 0.35 0.33%
UBIO 0.34 -2.16%

Results for the last 10 Days.

After 10 days the model did poorly with 5 out of 10 for positives and 4 out of 10 for the negatives.

Sym Weight Last 5 Day Avg Last 10 Day


Avg % Change Avg % Change
Positive
ERY 1.44 2.18% -8.24%
DUG 1.36 4.80% -6.27%
EWZ 1.19 3.95% 1.06%
RUSS 1.14 -4.19% -3.03%
BIB 1.04 0.00% -1.85%
XRT 0.99 3.10% 0.88%
USMV 0.95 0.93% 0.14%
XLI 0.93 0.93% 1.21%
BND 0.9 2.89% -0.05%
UPRO 0.84 5.14% 2.25%
Negative
labu* -0.94 -14.16% -7.60%
FXP -0.96 1.15% 1.40%
TZA -0.96 -5.05% -2.76%
MVV -1 1.08% 2.20%
EWW -1.07 -3.39% 0.34%
VWO -1.09 2.98% -0.27%
SLV -1.16 2.40% 0.30%
UVXY -1.16 -5.06% -5.55%
ERX -1.24 7.09% 8.54%
DIG -1.48 3.25% 6.46%

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