A thing to remember is that the MC and Qlearning models are very short term.
Monte Carlo | Qlearning | ||||||
XOP SPDR Oil & Gas | to cash | to stocks | XOP SPDR Oil & Gas | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 53.1% | 14.1% | was cash: | 10% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 21.8% | 11.1% | was stocks: | 0% | 90% | ||
74.8% | 25.2% | bearish | 10% | 90% | bullish | ||
XLE Energy Select Sector | to cash | to stocks | XLE Energy Select Sector | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 26.5% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 11.9% | 61.6% | was stocks: | 27.9% | 72.1% | ||
38.4% | 61.6% | bullish | 27.9% | 72.1% | bullish | ||
OIH VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs. | to cash | to stocks | OIH VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs. | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 33.1% | 0% | was cash: | 17.6% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 41.4% | 25.5% | was stocks: | 0% | 82.4% | ||
74.5% | 25.5% | bearish | 17.6% | 82.4% | bullish | ||
XES SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs | to cash | to stocks | XES SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 76.5% | 0% | was cash: | 6.7% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 23.5% | was stocks: | 29.1% | 64.2% | ||
76.5% | 23.5% | bearish | 35.8% | 64.2% | bullish | ||
IYE iShares U.S. Energy | to cash | to stocks | IYE iShares U.S. Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 34.1% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 65.9% | was stocks: | 26.5% | 73.5% | ||
34.1% | 65.9% | bullish | 26.5% | 73.5% | bullish | ||
FXN First Trust Energy | to cash | to stocks | FXN First Trust Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 45.4% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 23.9% | 30.7% | was stocks: | 14.6% | 85.4% | ||
69.3% | 30.7% | bearish | 14.6% | 85.4% | bullish | ||
IXC iShares Global Energy | to cash | to stocks | IXC iShares Global Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 50% | 0% | was cash: | 7.2% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 32.9% | 17.1% | was stocks: | 0% | 92.8% | ||
82.9% | 17.1% | bearish | 7.2% | 92.8% | bullish | ||
VDE Vanguard Energy | to cash | to stocks | VDE Vanguard Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 61.6% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 38.4% | was stocks: | 27.2% | 72.8% | ||
61.6% | 38.4% | bearish | 27.2% | 72.8% | bullish | ||
FENY Fid. MSCI Energy | to cash | to stocks | FENY Fid. MSCI Energy | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 61.8% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 38.2% | was stocks: | 46.4% | 53.6% | ||
61.8% | 38.2% | bearish | 46.4% | 53.6% | bullish | ||
FCG First Trust Natural Gas | to cash | to stocks | FCG First Trust Natural Gas | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 58% | 16.5% | was cash: | 0% | 36.5% | ||
was stocks: | 13.1% | 12.4% | was stocks: | 0% | 63.5% | ||
71.1% | 28.9% | bearish | 0% | 100% | bullish |
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