A Lot More Bear Calls For Energy

Monte Carlo				Qlearning
XOP SPDR Oil & Gas	to cash	to stocks		XOP SPDR Oil & Gas	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	41.5%	24.3%		was cash:	100%	0%
was stocks:	21.7%	12.4%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	63.2%	36.8%	bearish		100%	0%	bearish
XLE Energy Select Sector	to cash	to stocks		XLE Energy Select Sector	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	11.4%	0%		was cash:	63.9%	0%
was stocks:	26.6%	62%		was stocks:	36.1%	0%
	38%	62%	bullish		100%	0%	bearish
OIH VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs.	to cash	to stocks		OIH VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs.	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	40%	0%		was cash:	65.2%	0%
was stocks:	32.1%	27.9%		was stocks:	20.1%	14.7%
	72.1%	27.9%	bearish		85.3%	14.7%	bearish
XES SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs	to cash	to stocks		XES SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	25.9%	23%		was cash:	53.4%	0%
was stocks:	51.2%	0%		was stocks:	25%	21.6%
	77%	23%	bearish		78.4%	21.6%	bearish
IYE iShares U.S. Energy	to cash	to stocks		IYE iShares U.S. Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	27.7%	12.8%		was cash:	22.2%	8.8%
was stocks:	0%	59.5%		was stocks:	33.8%	35.2%
	27.7%	72.3%	bullish		56%	44%	bearish
FXN First Trust Energy	to cash	to stocks		FXN First Trust Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	80.8%	0%		was cash:	51.5%	12.7%
was stocks:	19.2%	0%		was stocks:	35.8%	0%
	100%	0%	bearish		87.3%	12.7%	bearish
IXC iShares Global Energy	to cash	to stocks		IXC iShares Global Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	0%		was cash:	47.2%	0%
was stocks:	32.6%	67.4%		was stocks:	36%	16.7%
	32.6%	67.4%	bullish		83.3%	16.7%	bearish
VDE Vanguard Energy	to cash	to stocks		VDE Vanguard Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	29.8%	0%		was cash:	48.4%	0%
was stocks:	0%	70.2%		was stocks:	31.1%	20.5%
	29.8%	70.2%	bullish		79.5%	20.5%	bearish
FENY Fid. MSCI Energy	to cash	to stocks		FENY Fid. MSCI Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	43.5%	0%		was cash:	54.4%	0%
was stocks:	0%	56.5%		was stocks:	21.9%	23.7%
	43.5%	56.5%	bullish		76.3%	23.7%	bearish
FCG First Trust Natural Gas	to cash	to stocks		FCG First Trust Natural Gas	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	13%	54.7%		was cash:	36%	14%
was stocks:	0%	32.3%		was stocks:	41%	9.1%
	13%	87%	bullish		77%	23%	bearish

From my 30 day out-look some confirmation has Energy with oranges and yellows for the next two weeks.  Reds, oranges and yellows indicate selling situations.

You can get a copy of this report from http://mcverryreport.com follow the links to download The Short Term Trader Report.

Top 10 / Bottom 10 Picks For Leveraged ETFs Over the Next 10 Market Days

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
DGAZ	2.94
LABD	2.8
BRZU	2.68
INDL	2.53
KOLD	2.49
RUSL	2.49
SOXL	2.43
NUGT	2.3
GASL	2.28
EDC	2.26
Negative (short)
DXD	0.72
SQQQ	0.72
VIXY	0.68
VIXM	0.65
SOXS	0.6
JDST	0.57
TVIZ	0.57
BZQ	0.56
TECS	0.48
FAZ	0.46

Last week's call so far not doing to well.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ	3.19	-3.44%
NUGT	2.47	-8.12%
KOLD	2.4	-2.39%
SOXL	2.16	-1.03%
LABD	2.13	-4.76%
JNUG	2.1	-7.62%
RUSL	2.04	-2.71%
INDL	2	-7.62%
GUSH	1.96	13.47%
UDOW	1.95	-1.61%
Average		-2.58%
Negative (short)
SOXS	0.55	0.47%
JDST	0.52	7.77%
SH	0.51	0.44%
SPXS	0.51	1.25%
PSQ	0.49	1.04%
FAZ	0.48	2.62%
SDOW	0.48	1.59%
SPXU	0.47	1.25%
SKF	0.45	1.81%
TECS	0.37	3.74%
Average		2.20%

Not too bad.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
UBIO	2.62	14.61%
LABU	2.59	19.77%
GUSH	2.41	25.98%
BIB	2.4	9.68%
CURE	2.4	7.53%
DUG	2.36	-10.92%
ERY	2.35	-15.63%
FAS	2.35	5.33%
DUST	2.24	5.50%
INDL	2.23	-7.48%
Average		5.44%
Negative (short)
SPXS	0.59	-5.81%
VIXY	0.58	-11.80%
TECS	0.57	-5.66%
VIXM	0.57	-6.43%
SDOW	0.56	-5.63%
BZQ	0.54	4.73%
FAZ	0.53	-5.28%
SKF	0.52	-3.31%
BIS	0.5	-9.29%
TVIZ	0.47	-12.97%
Average		-6.15%

asdfasdf

Both $LABU and $LABD in top 10 picks so change may be coming to the biotechs.  Russia, Brazil and China new to list.

Added 4.14 - with the missile attack against Russia's ally it'll be interesting to see how $RUSL does along with the rest of the markets.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
RUSL	2.97
DGAZ	2.95
MORL	2.65
BRZU	2.42
KOLD	2.38
LABU	2.35
BIB	2.26
UBIO	2.13
LABD	2.12
CHAU	2.1
Negative (short)
BIS	0.6
SRS	0.6
EEV	0.59
YANG	0.54
QID	0.53
FAZ	0.48
PSQ	0.43
SOXS	0.43
BOIL	0.4
TECS	0.26

So far last week's call doing well.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
UBIO	2.98	12.72%
SOXL	2.83	15.59%
TQQQ	2.7	8.75%
BIB	2.64	8.48%
QLD	2.63	5.79%
DGAZ	2.62	-1.11%
LABU	2.61	21.86%
FAS	2.55	3.40%
GASL	2.55	18.26%
SPXL	2.55	5.95%
Average		9.97%
Negative (short)
SPXS	0.66	-5.94%
QID	0.65	-5.79%
SQQQ	0.64	-8.62%
PSQ	0.62	-2.87%
VIXM	0.56	-2.65%
TVIZ	0.54	-5.32%
BIS	0.44	-8.30%
VIXY	0.44	-7.49%
TECS	0.34	-9.97%
SOXS	0.19	-14.66%
Average		-7.16%

With the exception of $DUG the call from 2 weeks ago was great.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
TQQQ	3.82	5.61%
LABU	3.74	11.82%
QLD	3.71	4.04%
BIB	3.65	1.86%
SOXL	3.62	4.33%
TECL	3.61	6.51%
KOLD	3.56	1.30%
DUG	3.42	-11.93%
SPXL	3.39	4.47%
UPRO	3.37	4.45%
Average		3.25%
Negative (short)
SQQQ	1.8	-7.27%
BOIL	1.79	-1.41%
QID	1.79	-4.69%
BIS	1.77	-3.47%
VIXY	1.77	-5.03%
TVIZ	1.69	-0.91%
EDZ	1.45	-0.93%
TECS	1.04	-7.81%
LABD	0.53	-15.78%
YANG	0.52	-8.68%
Average		-5.60%

Models Still Like Biothech Over The Next 2 Weeks

Looking out 2 Weeks

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
UBIO	2.98
SOXL	2.83
TQQQ	2.7
BIB	2.64
QLD	2.63
DGAZ	2.62
LABU	2.61
FAS	2.55
GASL	2.55
SPXL	2.55
Negative (short)
SPXS	0.66
QID	0.65
SQQQ	0.64
PSQ	0.62
VIXM	0.56
TVIZ	0.54
BIS	0.44
VIXY	0.44
TECS	0.34
SOXS	0.19

With One Week Left

(Looks like this week's picks.)
 

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
TQQQ	3.82	0.92%
LABU	3.74	-6.54%
QLD	3.71	0.84%
BIB	3.65	-4.29%
SOXL	3.62	-4.71%
TECL	3.61	0.73%
KOLD	3.56	1.10%
DUG	3.42	-3.90%
SPXL	3.39	2.17%
UPRO	3.37	2.21%
Average		-1.15%
Negative (short)
SQQQ	1.8	-1.96%
BOIL	1.79	-1.32%
QID	1.79	-1.24%
BIS	1.77	3.41%
VIXY	1.77	-2.40%
TVIZ	1.69	0.30%
EDZ	1.45	1.63%
TECS	1.04	-1.21%
LABD	0.53	3.83%
YANG	0.52	1.40%
Average		0.24%

Marginal call from 2 Weeks Ago

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
TQQQ	3.11	-5.71%
SPXL	3.01	0.81%
CURE	2.9	1.88%
FAS	2.88	2.33%
QLD	2.87	-3.60%
UPRO	2.87	0.94%
MIDU	2.85	1.69%
TECL	2.77	-3.32%
SSO	2.72	0.79%
SOXL	2.6	-13.48%
Average		-1.77%
Negative (short)
SOXS	0.39	9.54%
QID	0.38	1.96%
SKF	0.35	-3.10%
SDOW	0.28	-5.41%
SQQQ	0.24	2.48%
TVIX	0.24	0.37%
SPXS	0.22	-2.54%
SPXU	0.18	-2.64%
FAZ	0.14	-3.76%
TECS	0.11	0.41%
Average		-0.27%

asdfasfd

A.I. Models For Leveraged ETFs Looking For A Recovery Over The Next Couple of Weeks

Top and Bottom 10 Picks In 2 Weeks Time

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
TQQQ	3.11
SPXL	3.01
CURE	2.9
FAS	2.88
QLD	2.87
UPRO	2.87
MIDU	2.85
TECL	2.77
SSO	2.72
SOXL	2.6
Negative (short)
SOXS	0.39
QID	0.38
SKF	0.35
SDOW	0.28
SQQQ	0.24
TVIX	0.24
SPXS	0.22
SPXU	0.18
FAZ	0.14
TECS	0.11

Last week's picks still have a week to recover.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
RUSL	2.7	-2.93%
BRZU	2.62	-3.82%
DTO	2.56	-8.31%
SCO	2.5	-8.72%
KOLD	2.33	4.72%
TQQQ	2.33	-14.55%
FAS	2.32	-13.83%
DUG	2.31	-1.17%
DGAZ	2.3	7.20%
INDL	2.25	-5.21%
Average		-4.66%
Negative (short)
SKF	0.54	9.92%
SPXS	0.53	13.21%
SOXS	0.52	13.02%
VIXY	0.51	17.50%
PSQ	0.5	5.02%
SPXU	0.49	13.26%
VIXM	0.48	6.00%
TVIZ	0.4	12.28%
FAZ	0.38	14.55%
TECS	0.36	17.24%
Average		12.20%

The long call overall was positive thanks to $DGAZ and $LABD.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ	2.65	14.45%
ERY	2.53	1.08%
BRZU	2.48	-12.05%
RUSL	2.42	-9.34%
DUG	2.34	0.67%
LABD	2.32	20.57%
KOLD	2.31	9.65%
JNUG	2.2	5.00%
ULE	2.12	-0.03%
INDL	2.11	-10.25%
Average		1.98%
Negative (short)
VIXY	0.69	18.84%
ERX	0.67	-2.49%
SDOW	0.66	15.15%
SPXS	0.66	15.96%
TVIZ	0.64	12.50%
PSQ	0.62	6.32%
SH	0.62	4.95%
SKF	0.62	10.62%
SPXU	0.58	15.77%
FAZ	0.52	15.54%
Average		11.32%

 

Several Foreign-related Leveraged ETFs Still In The Top 10. The AI Models Like Markets In General Over The Next 2 Weeks.

Top and Bottom 10 Picks Over The Next 2 Weeks. 

 Note that in the shorts there are several inverse   leveraged ETFs.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
DGAZ	2.65
ERY	2.53
BRZU	2.48
RUSL	2.42
DUG	2.34
LABD	2.32
KOLD	2.31
JNUG	2.2
ULE	2.12
INDL	2.11
Negative (short)
VIXY	0.69
ERX	0.67
SDOW	0.66
SPXS	0.66
TVIZ	0.64
PSQ	0.62
SH	0.62
SKF	0.62
SPXU	0.58
FAZ	0.52

Last week so far so good.  The top 3 are negative but since they appear in the above list they may prove correct.  The short side is batting 100%.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
RUSL	3.15	-1.96%
BRZU	2.99	-1.71%
DGAZ	2.79	-3.82%
NUGT	2.68	0.09%
EURL	2.66	5.23%
LABU	2.63	10.09%
SOXL	2.46	10.56%
UYG	2.46	4.94%
UBIO	2.4	8.57%
EDC	2.38	6.67%
Average		3.87%
Negative (short)
DXD	0.56	-3.41%
QID	0.56	-5.29%
SOXS	0.56	-9.86%
YANG	0.56	-6.72%
VIXM	0.48	-2.55%
SPXS	0.46	-6.12%
SPXU	0.45	-6.09%
SDOW	0.41	-5.01%
VIXY	0.29	-10.10%
TVIZ	0.28	-5.32%
Average		-6.05%

What was called 2 weeks ago. Still not good but better than last week's results.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
UBIO	2.80	4.18%
BIB	2.63	3.14%
DTO	2.53	7.18%
RUSL	2.50	-10.96%
BRZU	2.48	-9.00%
DGAZ	2.41	-8.52%
INDL	2.40	-10.76%
LABU	2.40	7.79%
SOXL	2.38	10.13%
CURE	2.36	-1.79%
Average		-0.86%
Negative (short)
VIXM	0.92	5.05%
BIS	0.91	-3.47%
DOG	0.89	1.81%
DXD	0.89	3.56%
ERX	0.89	-6.52%
TVIZ	0.89	9.09%
SOXS	0.86	-10.37%
PSQ	0.82	-0.85%
SDOW	0.77	5.33%
FAZ	0.69	-0.56%
Average		0.31%

Speaking of last week's results ...

Since the models look ahead 2 weeks I usually don't post results after 3 weeks.  But the call from 3 weeks ago actually turned out pretty good.  Even though the after 2 weeks it was horrible.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 15 Day % Change
Positives (long)
LABU	2.76	12.03%
BIB	2.6	5.53%
BRZU	2.59	-1.60%
UBIO	2.48	7.82%
UST	2.41	0.30%
YCS	2.41	-0.65%
DTO	2.38	-0.11%
RUSL	2.33	0.52%
TMF	2.32	-0.21%
CURE	2.25	1.33%
Average		2.50%
Negative (short)
FAZ	0.41	-3.91%
VIXY	0.41	-4.78%
SPXS	0.4	-3.52%
DOG	0.39	0.10%
SOXS	0.39	-17.74%
SDOW	0.39	-0.15%
SH	0.39	-1.02%
BIS	0.38	-5.80%
TVIZ	0.39	0.71%
VIXM	0.37	0.68%
Average		-3.54%

This Week's Top/Bottom 10 Almost The Same As Last Week's; Call From 2 Weeks Ago ... Outstanding.

A bunch of bio tech leveraged ETFs in the top 10 along with some internationals

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
UBIO	2.8
BIB	2.63
DTO	2.53
RUSL	2.5
BRZU	2.48
DGAZ	2.41
INDL	2.4
LABU	2.4
SOXL	2.38
CURE	2.36
Negative (short)
VIXM	0.92
BIS	0.91
DOG	0.89
DXD	0.89
ERX	0.89
TVIZ	0.89
SOXS	0.86
PSQ	0.82
SDOW	0.77
FAZ	0.69

Last week's call not so great but it has another week to go.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
LABU	2.76	0.67%
BIB	2.60	-0.46%
BRZU	2.59	5.25%
UBIO	2.48	-0.65%
UST	2.41	-0.07%
YCS	2.41	-0.23%
DTO	2.38	-4.00%
RUSL	2.33	8.77%
TMF	2.32	-2.15%
CURE	2.25	-1.08%
Average		0.61%
Negative (short)
FAZ	0.41	0.70%
VIXY	0.41	-2.16%
SPXS	0.40	-0.18%
DOG	0.39	-0.24%
SOXS	0.39	-1.84%
SDOW	0.39	-0.75%
SH	0.39	-0.07%
BIS	0.38	0.47%
TVIZ	0.39	-2.23%
VIXM	0.37	-1.13%
Average		-0.74%

10% & 14% over 2 weeks ... wow.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
SVXY	3.08	12.46%
EURL	2.73	6.46%
TQQQ	2.67	16.34%
MIDU	2.66	10.26%
JNUG	2.58	3.32%
TECL	2.57	15.26%
CURE	2.53	7.20%
QLD	2.52	10.76%
SOXL	2.49	15.74%
DRN	2.47	-1.86%
Average		9.59%
Negative (short)
SKF	0.35	-5.96%
VIXY	0.35	-12.36%
SPXS	0.34	-8.87%
SQQQ	0.33	-14.88%
FAZ	0.32	-9.14%
TECS	0.3	-14.18%
TVIX	0.3	-23.84%
YANG	0.3	-16.94%
TVIZ	0.26	-8.57%
UVXY	0.18	-24.81%
Average		-13.96%

The Models Prove That You Need More Than The Models - Top/Bottom 10 Leveraged ETFs For Next 2 Weeks.

The call for the next 10 days looks like the call from 2 weeks ago, which performed horribly.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
TMF	3.48
DRN	3.31
MORL	3.24
DGAZ	3.23
URE	3.15
GASX	2.95
DTO	2.94
DSLV	2.93
NUGT	2.89
DDM	2.71
Negative (short)
TBT	1.1
TTT	1.01
VIXM	1
BOIL	0.99
DRV	0.95
VIXY	0.75
TVIZ	0.54
UGAZ	0.4
TVIX	0.22
UVXY	0.14

Last weeks call not doing to well.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ	3.85	-1.02%
DRN	3.27	-0.77%
MORL	3.08	-1.60%
TMF	3.07	-3.20%
URE	3.03	0.22%
GASX	2.97	5.87%
DTO	2.88	-0.11%
UST	2.68	-1.26%
DSLV	2.64	4.52%
DDM	2.63	1.97%
Average		0.46%
Negative (short)
VIXY	1.07	0.90%
BOIL	1.06	0.07%
USLV	1.05	-4.61%
SOXS	1.03	-10.47%
SRS	1.02	-0.37%
DRV	1	0.57%
GASL	0.85	-5.84%
UVXY	0.84	1.85%
TVIX	0.78	1.79%
ugaz*	0.23	0.40%
Average		-1.57%

Two weeks ago, ouch

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
NUGT	3.23	1.72%
DRN	3.07	-9.18%
DSLV	3.03	3.02%
JNUG	2.96	1.97%
DTO	2.91	-8.07%
URE	2.85	-5.53%
TMF	2.82	-4.32%
UST	2.69	-1.92%
ZSL	2.63	1.89%
MORL	2.59	-8.07%
Average		-2.85%
Negative (short)
SOXS	1.07	-8.87%
ugaz*	1.05	33.55%
DRV	1.04	9.72%
TVIZ	0.97	-0.08%
VIXY	0.97	2.70%
SRS	0.96	5.65%
GASL	0.94	1.82%
UCO	0.84	6.49%
UVXY	0.68	5.48%
TVIX	0.4	5.39%
Average		6.19%

BOC Top 10 L.ETF Picks for the Next 10 Days

Sym	MA	%	BB	%	MACD	%	Aroon	%	Slope	%	LR	%	Mom	%	TSF	%	BOC	%
CURE	Buy	55.86%	Buy	55.56%	Buy	52.43%	Buy	61.22%	Sell	48.39%	Buy	56.18%	Sell	42.39%	Buy	60.00%	Buy	100.00%
DRV	Sell	29.41%	Sell	43.57%	Sell	49.07%	Sell	25.93%	Sell	21.82%	?	?	Sell	39.05%	Buy	58.00%	Buy	100.00%
ERX	Buy	50.64%	Buy	58.46%	Sell	50.00%	Sell	42.55%	Buy	67.65%	Buy	66.67%	Sell	48.07%	Buy	52.94%	Buy	100.00%
GLL	Buy	50.98%	Sell	50.00%	Buy	57.80%	Buy	54.47%	Buy	60.10%	Buy	60.51%	Buy	55.09%	Sell	44.64%	Buy	100.00%
TMF	Buy	53.69%	Buy	55.63%	Buy	55.67%	Sell	46.55%	Buy	51.92%	Buy	57.43%	Buy	51.56%	Buy	54.84%	Buy	86.96%
UYG	Buy	54.55%	Buy	55.84%	Buy	57.50%	Buy	63.33%	Buy	60.53%	Buy	54.84%	Buy	60.40%	Buy	69.44%	Buy	83.19%
SVXY	Buy	59.76%	Buy	58.24%	Sell	43.75%	Buy	67.65%	Buy	65.66%	Buy	63.16%	Buy	65.56%	Buy	60.61%	Buy	81.82%
FAS	Buy	55.17%	Buy	54.40%	Buy	57.76%	Buy	63.41%	Buy	67.74%	Buy	56.18%	Buy	54.61%	Buy	55.91%	Buy	81.02%
UPRO	Buy	62.08%	Buy	61.32%	Buy	65.12%	Buy	64.71%	Buy	74.71%	Buy	58.33%	Buy	61.64%	Buy	59.52%	Buy	77.21%
QLD	Buy	58.43%	Buy	62.50%	Buy	59.26%	Buy	59.26%	Buy	66.18%	Buy	67.31%	Buy	65.89%	Buy	69.23%	Buy	76.97%