A Lot More Bear Calls For Energy

Monte Carlo				Qlearning
XOP SPDR Oil & Gas	to cash	to stocks		XOP SPDR Oil & Gas	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	41.5%	24.3%		was cash:	100%	0%
was stocks:	21.7%	12.4%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	63.2%	36.8%	bearish		100%	0%	bearish
XLE Energy Select Sector	to cash	to stocks		XLE Energy Select Sector	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	11.4%	0%		was cash:	63.9%	0%
was stocks:	26.6%	62%		was stocks:	36.1%	0%
	38%	62%	bullish		100%	0%	bearish
OIH VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs.	to cash	to stocks		OIH VanEck Vect. Oil Svcs.	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	40%	0%		was cash:	65.2%	0%
was stocks:	32.1%	27.9%		was stocks:	20.1%	14.7%
	72.1%	27.9%	bearish		85.3%	14.7%	bearish
XES SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs	to cash	to stocks		XES SPDR Oil & Gas En&Svcs	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	25.9%	23%		was cash:	53.4%	0%
was stocks:	51.2%	0%		was stocks:	25%	21.6%
	77%	23%	bearish		78.4%	21.6%	bearish
IYE iShares U.S. Energy	to cash	to stocks		IYE iShares U.S. Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	27.7%	12.8%		was cash:	22.2%	8.8%
was stocks:	0%	59.5%		was stocks:	33.8%	35.2%
	27.7%	72.3%	bullish		56%	44%	bearish
FXN First Trust Energy	to cash	to stocks		FXN First Trust Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	80.8%	0%		was cash:	51.5%	12.7%
was stocks:	19.2%	0%		was stocks:	35.8%	0%
	100%	0%	bearish		87.3%	12.7%	bearish
IXC iShares Global Energy	to cash	to stocks		IXC iShares Global Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	0%		was cash:	47.2%	0%
was stocks:	32.6%	67.4%		was stocks:	36%	16.7%
	32.6%	67.4%	bullish		83.3%	16.7%	bearish
VDE Vanguard Energy	to cash	to stocks		VDE Vanguard Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	29.8%	0%		was cash:	48.4%	0%
was stocks:	0%	70.2%		was stocks:	31.1%	20.5%
	29.8%	70.2%	bullish		79.5%	20.5%	bearish
FENY Fid. MSCI Energy	to cash	to stocks		FENY Fid. MSCI Energy	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	43.5%	0%		was cash:	54.4%	0%
was stocks:	0%	56.5%		was stocks:	21.9%	23.7%
	43.5%	56.5%	bullish		76.3%	23.7%	bearish
FCG First Trust Natural Gas	to cash	to stocks		FCG First Trust Natural Gas	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	13%	54.7%		was cash:	36%	14%
was stocks:	0%	32.3%		was stocks:	41%	9.1%
	13%	87%	bullish		77%	23%	bearish

From my 30 day out-look some confirmation has Energy with oranges and yellows for the next two weeks.  Reds, oranges and yellows indicate selling situations.

You can get a copy of this report from http://mcverryreport.com follow the links to download The Short Term Trader Report.

Top 10 / Bottom 10 Picks For Leveraged ETFs Over the Next 10 Market Days

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
DGAZ	2.94
LABD	2.8
BRZU	2.68
INDL	2.53
KOLD	2.49
RUSL	2.49
SOXL	2.43
NUGT	2.3
GASL	2.28
EDC	2.26
Negative (short)
DXD	0.72
SQQQ	0.72
VIXY	0.68
VIXM	0.65
SOXS	0.6
JDST	0.57
TVIZ	0.57
BZQ	0.56
TECS	0.48
FAZ	0.46

Last week's call so far not doing to well.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ	3.19	-3.44%
NUGT	2.47	-8.12%
KOLD	2.4	-2.39%
SOXL	2.16	-1.03%
LABD	2.13	-4.76%
JNUG	2.1	-7.62%
RUSL	2.04	-2.71%
INDL	2	-7.62%
GUSH	1.96	13.47%
UDOW	1.95	-1.61%
Average		-2.58%
Negative (short)
SOXS	0.55	0.47%
JDST	0.52	7.77%
SH	0.51	0.44%
SPXS	0.51	1.25%
PSQ	0.49	1.04%
FAZ	0.48	2.62%
SDOW	0.48	1.59%
SPXU	0.47	1.25%
SKF	0.45	1.81%
TECS	0.37	3.74%
Average		2.20%

Not too bad.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
UBIO	2.62	14.61%
LABU	2.59	19.77%
GUSH	2.41	25.98%
BIB	2.4	9.68%
CURE	2.4	7.53%
DUG	2.36	-10.92%
ERY	2.35	-15.63%
FAS	2.35	5.33%
DUST	2.24	5.50%
INDL	2.23	-7.48%
Average		5.44%
Negative (short)
SPXS	0.59	-5.81%
VIXY	0.58	-11.80%
TECS	0.57	-5.66%
VIXM	0.57	-6.43%
SDOW	0.56	-5.63%
BZQ	0.54	4.73%
FAZ	0.53	-5.28%
SKF	0.52	-3.31%
BIS	0.5	-9.29%
TVIZ	0.47	-12.97%
Average		-6.15%

asdfasdf

The Call From 2 Weeks Ago Did Well - Top 10 and Bottom 10 Picks for Leveraged ETFs For The Next 2 Weeks.

This week's picks for 10 days out quite similar to last week and the previous week.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
DGAZ	3.01
SOXL	2.7
GASX	2.65
RUSL	2.53
YINN	2.53
MORL	2.51
KOLD	2.47
BIB	2.4
DGLD	2.37
DRN	2.37
Negative (short)
DXD	0.63
FAZ	0.63
VIXY	0.61
VIXM	0.6
SQQQ	0.59
SOXS	0.55
SDOW	0.48
TVIZ	0.44
TECS	0.36
YANG	0.31

We will see.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
RUSL	2.97	8.66%
DGAZ	2.95	3.40%
MORL	2.65	0.32%
BRZU	2.42	8.27%
KOLD	2.38	2.14%
LABU	2.35	-0.93%
BIB	2.26	-0.52%
UBIO	2.13	-0.79%
LABD	2.12	-0.02%
CHAU	2.1	-3.78%
Average		1.68%
Negative (short)
BIS	0.6	0.14%
SRS	0.6	1.07%
EEV	0.59	-0.06%
YANG	0.54	3.64%
QID	0.53	-2.11%
FAZ	0.48	-3.12%
PSQ	0.43	-1.10%
SOXS	0.43	11.42%
BOIL	0.4	-2.53%
TECS	0.26	-0.74%
Average		0.66%

With the exception of $DGAZ long call the models did great.  See above

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
UBIO	2.98	11.71%
SOXL	2.83	6.31%
TQQQ	2.7	14.21%
BIB	2.64	7.99%
QLD	2.63	9.39%
DGAZ	2.62	-2.38%
LABU	2.61	19.95%
FAS	2.55	4.91%
GASL	2.55	32.35%
SPXL	2.55	9.47%
Average		11.39%
Negative (short)
SPXS	0.66	-9.17%
QID	0.65	-9.03%
SQQQ	0.64	-13.45%
PSQ	0.62	-4.57%
VIXM	0.56	-8.93%
TVIZ	0.54	-16.58%
BIS	0.44	-8.13%
VIXY	0.44	-17.02%
TECS	0.34	-12.69%
SOXS	0.19	-8.20%
Average		-10.78%

Both $LABU and $LABD in top 10 picks so change may be coming to the biotechs.  Russia, Brazil and China new to list.

Added 4.14 - with the missile attack against Russia's ally it'll be interesting to see how $RUSL does along with the rest of the markets.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
RUSL	2.97
DGAZ	2.95
MORL	2.65
BRZU	2.42
KOLD	2.38
LABU	2.35
BIB	2.26
UBIO	2.13
LABD	2.12
CHAU	2.1
Negative (short)
BIS	0.6
SRS	0.6
EEV	0.59
YANG	0.54
QID	0.53
FAZ	0.48
PSQ	0.43
SOXS	0.43
BOIL	0.4
TECS	0.26

So far last week's call doing well.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
UBIO	2.98	12.72%
SOXL	2.83	15.59%
TQQQ	2.7	8.75%
BIB	2.64	8.48%
QLD	2.63	5.79%
DGAZ	2.62	-1.11%
LABU	2.61	21.86%
FAS	2.55	3.40%
GASL	2.55	18.26%
SPXL	2.55	5.95%
Average		9.97%
Negative (short)
SPXS	0.66	-5.94%
QID	0.65	-5.79%
SQQQ	0.64	-8.62%
PSQ	0.62	-2.87%
VIXM	0.56	-2.65%
TVIZ	0.54	-5.32%
BIS	0.44	-8.30%
VIXY	0.44	-7.49%
TECS	0.34	-9.97%
SOXS	0.19	-14.66%
Average		-7.16%

With the exception of $DUG the call from 2 weeks ago was great.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
TQQQ	3.82	5.61%
LABU	3.74	11.82%
QLD	3.71	4.04%
BIB	3.65	1.86%
SOXL	3.62	4.33%
TECL	3.61	6.51%
KOLD	3.56	1.30%
DUG	3.42	-11.93%
SPXL	3.39	4.47%
UPRO	3.37	4.45%
Average		3.25%
Negative (short)
SQQQ	1.8	-7.27%
BOIL	1.79	-1.41%
QID	1.79	-4.69%
BIS	1.77	-3.47%
VIXY	1.77	-5.03%
TVIZ	1.69	-0.91%
EDZ	1.45	-0.93%
TECS	1.04	-7.81%
LABD	0.53	-15.78%
YANG	0.52	-8.68%
Average		-5.60%

A.I. Performace Estimates for Leveraged ETFs In 2 Weeks Time

This week's call looks a lot like last week's call which looks a lot like the previous week's call

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
RUSL	2.7
BRZU	2.62
DTO	2.56
SCO	2.5
KOLD	2.33
TQQQ	2.33
FAS	2.32
DUG	2.31
DGAZ	2.3
INDL	2.25
Negative (short)
SKF	0.54
SPXS	0.53
SOXS	0.52
VIXY	0.51
PSQ	0.5
SPXU	0.49
VIXM	0.48
TVIZ	0.4
FAZ	0.38
TECS	0.36

Last week's long call is holding up,  The short call not so much.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ	2.65	6.27%
ERY	2.53	4.24%
BRZU	2.48	-9.35%
RUSL	2.42	-9.48%
DUG	2.34	2.75%
LABD	2.32	9.66%
KOLD	2.31	4.40%
JNUG	2.2	-3.40%
ULE	2.12	-0.44%
INDL	2.11	-4.34%
Average		0.03%
Negative (short)
VIXY	0.69	2.20%
ERX	0.67	-4.20%
SDOW	0.66	4.31%
SPXS	0.66	3.93%
TVIZ	0.64	2.48%
PSQ	0.62	1.31%
SH	0.62	1.27%
SKF	0.62	3.09%
SPXU	0.58	3.97%
FAZ	0.52	4.16%
Average		2.25%

The call from 2 weeks ago isn't too bad overall,  sure missed the first 4 long calls.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
RUSL	3.15	-9.08%
BRZU	2.99	-5.35%
DGAZ	2.79	-1.09%
NUGT	2.68	-0.84%
EURL	2.66	4.42%
LABU	2.63	5.22%
SOXL	2.46	11.66%
UYG	2.46	3.35%
UBIO	2.4	7.56%
EDC	2.38	7.06%
Average		2.29%
Negative (short)
DXD	0.56	-1.47%
QID	0.56	-5.32%
SOXS	0.56	-11.32%
YANG	0.56	-10.47%
VIXM	0.48	-2.15%
SPXS	0.46	-4.94%
SPXU	0.45	-4.82%
SDOW	0.41	-2.24%
VIXY	0.29	-8.88%
TVIZ	0.28	-4.61%
Average		-5.62%

asfasdf

As With The Markets The Models Recover From The Sell Off At The End of January.

In the Top 10 Biotechs have the strongest buy signal for the next 2 weeks.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
LABU	2.76
BIB	2.6
BRZU	2.59
UBIO	2.48
UST	2.41
YCS	2.41
DTO	2.38
RUSL	2.33
TMF	2.32
CURE	2.25
Negative (short)
FAZ	0.41
VIXY	0.41
SPXS	0.4
DOG	0.39
SOXS	0.39
SDOW	0.39
SH	0.39
BIS	0.38
TVIZ	0.39
VIXM	0.37

Last week's numbers are looking really good.  So far....

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
SVXY	3.08	15.32%
EURL	2.73	9.48%
TQQQ	2.67	15.17%
MIDU	2.66	11.96%
JNUG	2.58	17.76%
TECL	2.57	14.83%
CURE	2.53	9.78%
QLD	2.52	10.03%
SOXL	2.49	12.69%
DRN	2.47	3.43%
Average		12.05%
Negative (short)
SKF	0.35	-7.23%
VIXY	0.35	-14.56%
SPXS	0.34	-10.34%
SQQQ	0.33	-13.94%
FAZ	0.32	-10.54%
TECS	0.30	-13.57%
TVIX	0.30	-27.54%
YANG	0.30	-17.58%
TVIZ	0.26	-9.82%
UVXY	0.18	-28.47%
Average		-15.36%

The results' from 2 weeks ago are good.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
GUSH	3.22	-9.70%
RUSL	2.8	4.98%
DRN	2.68	-5.40%
MIDU	2.64	0.90%
BRZU	2.62	5.65%
MORL	2.56	8.28%
FAS	2.53	1.24%
URE	2.49	-2.61%
JNUG	2.44	5.95%
RETL	2.43	8.44%
Average		1.77%
Negative (short)
MIDZ	0.51	-3.25%
SPXU	0.5	-4.21%
YANG	0.47	5.80%
SDOW	0.46	-4.98%
TVIZ	0.43	6.48%
FAZ	0.41	-4.87%
TECS	0.36	-9.27%
UVXY	0.32	-11.84%
TVIX	0.31	-20.90%
VIXY	0.3	9.08%
Average		-3.80%

The Models Prove That You Need More Than The Models - Top/Bottom 10 Leveraged ETFs For Next 2 Weeks.

The call for the next 10 days looks like the call from 2 weeks ago, which performed horribly.

Sym	Scale 4-0
Positives (long)
TMF	3.48
DRN	3.31
MORL	3.24
DGAZ	3.23
URE	3.15
GASX	2.95
DTO	2.94
DSLV	2.93
NUGT	2.89
DDM	2.71
Negative (short)
TBT	1.1
TTT	1.01
VIXM	1
BOIL	0.99
DRV	0.95
VIXY	0.75
TVIZ	0.54
UGAZ	0.4
TVIX	0.22
UVXY	0.14

Last weeks call not doing to well.

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 5 Day % Change
Positives (long)
DGAZ	3.85	-1.02%
DRN	3.27	-0.77%
MORL	3.08	-1.60%
TMF	3.07	-3.20%
URE	3.03	0.22%
GASX	2.97	5.87%
DTO	2.88	-0.11%
UST	2.68	-1.26%
DSLV	2.64	4.52%
DDM	2.63	1.97%
Average		0.46%
Negative (short)
VIXY	1.07	0.90%
BOIL	1.06	0.07%
USLV	1.05	-4.61%
SOXS	1.03	-10.47%
SRS	1.02	-0.37%
DRV	1	0.57%
GASL	0.85	-5.84%
UVXY	0.84	1.85%
TVIX	0.78	1.79%
ugaz*	0.23	0.40%
Average		-1.57%

Two weeks ago, ouch

Sym	Scale 4-0	Last 10 Day % Change
Positives (long)
NUGT	3.23	1.72%
DRN	3.07	-9.18%
DSLV	3.03	3.02%
JNUG	2.96	1.97%
DTO	2.91	-8.07%
URE	2.85	-5.53%
TMF	2.82	-4.32%
UST	2.69	-1.92%
ZSL	2.63	1.89%
MORL	2.59	-8.07%
Average		-2.85%
Negative (short)
SOXS	1.07	-8.87%
ugaz*	1.05	33.55%
DRV	1.04	9.72%
TVIZ	0.97	-0.08%
VIXY	0.97	2.70%
SRS	0.96	5.65%
GASL	0.94	1.82%
UCO	0.84	6.49%
UVXY	0.68	5.48%
TVIX	0.4	5.39%
Average		6.19%

Top 10 L.ETFs With Highest Estimated Confidence of A Positive Move Over The Next 10 Market Days

Sym	MA	%	BB	%	MACD	%	Aroon	%	Slope	%	LR	%	Mom	%	TSF	%	BOC	%
BDCL	Buy	54.29%	Sell	48.09%	Sell	42.86%	Buy	51.76%	Buy	59.26%	Buy	63.89%	Buy	60.71%	Buy	61.05%	Buy	100.00%
CURE	Buy	56.20%	Buy	55.74%	Sell	45.83%	Buy	61.22%	Sell	47.50%	Sell	45.45%	Buy	51.72%	Buy	56.76%	Buy	100.00%
ERX	Buy	50.96%	Buy	59.09%	Sell	48.51%	Sell	42.55%	Buy	52.00%	?	?	Sell	48.63%	Buy	62.50%	Buy	100.00%
EUO	Buy	55.56%	Sell	40.57%	Buy	52.08%	Buy	52.63%	Buy	60.00%	Buy	52.17%	Buy	63.04%	Buy	60.87%	Buy	100.00%
EURL	Sell	49.30%	Sell	48.13%	Buy	56.25%	Buy	68.12%	Buy	58.24%	Buy	61.11%	Buy	57.20%	Buy	54.55%	Buy	100.00%
LBJ	Buy	52.13%	Sell	48.41%	Buy	57.58%	Buy	57.58%	Buy	57.32%	?	?	Buy	52.22%	Buy	52.17%	Buy	100.00%
DGAZ	Buy	66.67%	Buy	58.67%	Buy	52.31%	Buy	73.08%	Buy	57.69%	Buy	53.94%	Buy	53.12%	Buy	53.23%	Buy	91.89%
TMF	Buy	53.69%	Buy	53.81%	Sell	41.18%	Buy	58.73%	Buy	54.04%	Buy	62.50%	Buy	56.50%	Buy	87.50%	Buy	80.00%
UBIO	Sell	44.54%	Buy	50.89%	Buy	51.65%	Buy	56.00%	Sell	46.34%	Buy	54.74%	Sell	34.04%	Buy	66.67%	Buy	80.00%
UDOW	Buy	67.13%	Buy	60.00%	Buy	60.16%	Buy	59.26%	Buy	60.00%	Buy	67.12%	Buy	62.17%	Buy	57.14%	Buy	77.08%

BOC Top 10 L.ETF Picks for the Next 10 Days

Sym	MA	%	BB	%	MACD	%	Aroon	%	Slope	%	LR	%	Mom	%	TSF	%	BOC	%
CURE	Buy	55.86%	Buy	55.56%	Buy	52.43%	Buy	61.22%	Sell	48.39%	Buy	56.18%	Sell	42.39%	Buy	60.00%	Buy	100.00%
DRV	Sell	29.41%	Sell	43.57%	Sell	49.07%	Sell	25.93%	Sell	21.82%	?	?	Sell	39.05%	Buy	58.00%	Buy	100.00%
ERX	Buy	50.64%	Buy	58.46%	Sell	50.00%	Sell	42.55%	Buy	67.65%	Buy	66.67%	Sell	48.07%	Buy	52.94%	Buy	100.00%
GLL	Buy	50.98%	Sell	50.00%	Buy	57.80%	Buy	54.47%	Buy	60.10%	Buy	60.51%	Buy	55.09%	Sell	44.64%	Buy	100.00%
TMF	Buy	53.69%	Buy	55.63%	Buy	55.67%	Sell	46.55%	Buy	51.92%	Buy	57.43%	Buy	51.56%	Buy	54.84%	Buy	86.96%
UYG	Buy	54.55%	Buy	55.84%	Buy	57.50%	Buy	63.33%	Buy	60.53%	Buy	54.84%	Buy	60.40%	Buy	69.44%	Buy	83.19%
SVXY	Buy	59.76%	Buy	58.24%	Sell	43.75%	Buy	67.65%	Buy	65.66%	Buy	63.16%	Buy	65.56%	Buy	60.61%	Buy	81.82%
FAS	Buy	55.17%	Buy	54.40%	Buy	57.76%	Buy	63.41%	Buy	67.74%	Buy	56.18%	Buy	54.61%	Buy	55.91%	Buy	81.02%
UPRO	Buy	62.08%	Buy	61.32%	Buy	65.12%	Buy	64.71%	Buy	74.71%	Buy	58.33%	Buy	61.64%	Buy	59.52%	Buy	77.21%
QLD	Buy	58.43%	Buy	62.50%	Buy	59.26%	Buy	59.26%	Buy	66.18%	Buy	67.31%	Buy	65.89%	Buy	69.23%	Buy	76.97%